CA Belgrano de Cordoba — Independiente Rivadavia: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.9% |
| 12 | 69.6% | |
| X2 | 51.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.9% / 55.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.0% / 12.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.5% / 32.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 39.3% / 60.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.2% / 80.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.9% / 92.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.8% / 97.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.08.2026 away Banfield 2:0
- 06.08.2026 away Tigre 0:0
- 01.08.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 0:1
- 23.07.2026 home Rosario Central 2:1
- 24.05.2026 away River Plate 3:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.08.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:1
- 03.08.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 1:2
- 30.07.2026 home Huracan 2:1
- 26.07.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 0:0
- 10.05.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 1:2
This season: CA Belgrano de Cordoba at home vs Independiente Rivadavia away
| Metric | CA Belgrano de Cordoba · at home | Independiente Rivadavia · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 6–2–3 | 4–4–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.36 | 1.22 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.64 | 0.78 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 56% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 15.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia 0:1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 26.07.2025 Independiente Rivadavia 0:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 04.02.2025 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0:3 Independiente Rivadavia
- 26.11.2024 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0:2 Independiente Rivadavia
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Belgrano de Cordoba hold a slight edge over Independiente Rivadavia in what is expected to be a cautious Primera LPF, Clausura encounter. The overall outlook points towards a low-scoring match, with the home side better placed but not separated by a decisive margin. The strongest result signal favours CA Belgrano de Cordoba avoiding defeat.
The scoring outlook suggests limited attacking output from both teams. A draw remains a realistic possibility, and whether both sides find the net is difficult to separate. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:0, and 0:0, all consistent with a tight contest where small moments could shape the outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Independiente Rivadavia fixture context
Independiente Rivadavia enter the match following a 0-0 draw against Fluminense in the first leg of the Copa Libertadores round of 16, with the return leg set for August 18 in Mendoza.
Belgrano's previous result
CA Belgrano head into matchday 5 of the Torneo Clausura following a 2-0 away win against Banfield, with goals scored by Lucas Passerini and Lisandro Lopez.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.