CA Aldosivi — CA Tigre: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.8% |
| 12 | 64.5% | |
| X2 | 67.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 37.9% / 62.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 82.6% / 17.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 28.1% / 71.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 11.6% / 88.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.0% / 96.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.2% / 98.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.08.2026 away Rosario Central 1:2
- 02.08.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 1:2
- 29.07.2026 away Barracas Central 0:1
- 24.07.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 1:1
- 03.05.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.08.2026 home River Plate 1:0
- 06.08.2026 home Belgrano 0:0
- 02.08.2026 away Racing Club 3:1
- 25.07.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:1
- 03.05.2026 away Rosario Central 1:1
This season: CA Aldosivi at home vs CA Tigre away
| Metric | CA Aldosivi · at home | CA Tigre · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 0–7–2 | 2–4–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.44 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.78 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 11% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 12.02.2026 CA Tigre 1:0 CA Aldosivi
- 21.09.2025 CA Tigre 2:0 CA Aldosivi
- 09.03.2025 CA Aldosivi 0:2 CA Tigre
- 30.09.2022 CA Tigre 3:0 CA Aldosivi
- 12.03.2022 CA Aldosivi 1:0 CA Tigre
- 02.09.2018 CA Aldosivi 0:2 CA Tigre
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Aldosivi and CA Tigre look evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence rather than a strong lean toward either side, suggesting that the contest may be decided by small details. Home advantage gives CA Aldosivi a degree of support, but CA Tigre appear capable of keeping the game balanced.
The expected pattern is a cautious, low-scoring match in which defensive organisation could carry greater weight than sustained attacking pressure. A clean sheet is considered likely, while the most plausible scenarios involve a goalless draw, a level score with limited chances, or a narrow victory for CA Aldosivi. Overall, the outlook favours a controlled encounter with little separating the teams and limited room for error in key areas.
What matters before kick-off
Tigre consideration of squad rotation for Sudamericana
Tigre head coach Diego Dabove is evaluating squad rotation against Aldosivi to rest key players ahead of their Copa Sudamericana round of 16 second leg match against Montevideo City Torque.
Tigre recent league form
Tigre enter the fixture having secured seven points from their previous three league matches, including a 1-0 home victory over River Plate thanks to a goal by Ignacio Russo.
Aldosivi recent losing run
Aldosivi enter matchday five of the Clausura following three consecutive defeat in the Liga Profesional, most recently losing 2-1 away to Rosario Central.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.