Queens Park Rangers — Preston North End: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.9% |
| 12 | 75.2% | |
| X2 | 44.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.0% / 44.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.4% / 6.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.7% / 20.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.2% / 66.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.9% / 83.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.5% / 92.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026
Queens Park Rangers
7th place · 12 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 away West Brom 1:1
- 09.09.2026 away Charlton 0:0
- 05.09.2026 home Middlesbrough 0:1
- 02.09.2026 home Cardiff 2:1
- 29.08.2026 away Blackburn 2:1
Preston North End
23rd place · 3 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 home Lincoln 0:1
- 08.09.2026 away Watford 1:2
- 05.09.2026 home Blackburn 2:1
- 01.09.2026 home Bristol City 1:3
- 29.08.2026 away Charlton 0:1
This season: Queens Park Rangers at home vs Preston North End away
| Metric | Queens Park Rangers · at home | Preston North End · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–1 | 0–0–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.67 | 1.67 |
| xG for per match | 1.86 | 1.49 |
| xG against per match | 1.10 | 1.08 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| Corners per match | 8.00 | 3.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 06.04.2026 Preston North End 1:1 Queens Park Rangers
- 09.08.2025 Queens Park Rangers 1:1 Preston North End
- 18.04.2025 Preston North End 1:2 Queens Park Rangers
- 21.12.2024 Queens Park Rangers 2:1 Preston North End
- 20.04.2024 Queens Park Rangers 1:0 Preston North End
- 01.12.2023 Preston North End 0:2 Queens Park Rangers
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Queens Park Rangers have a slight edge over Preston North End in this Championship meeting, although the low confidence level points to a closely balanced contest rather than a clear home advantage. The available assessment gives Queens Park Rangers the stronger position, but the margin appears narrow and the match could remain competitive throughout.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, suggesting a game with a reasonable chance of producing several meaningful opportunities without pointing to an especially open contest. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, with that possibility assessed as evenly balanced. Overall, Queens Park Rangers may be marginally better placed, but Preston North End remain well within the range of outcomes, making this a fixture where the finer details could determine the result.
What matters before kick-off
Preston North End managerial change
Preston North End enter the match managerless following the dismissal of Paul Heckingbottom after six defeats in their opening seven Championship games. First-team coach Jason Euell has taken interim charge of the side.
QPR squad updates
QPR winger Paul Smyth has been passed fit to face Preston after being forced off in the first half against West Bromwich Albion. However, Tariq Lamptey, Jimmy Dunne, and Ilias Chair remain sidelined through injury.
QPR's strong defensive record
QPR conceded just five goals in their first seven Championship fixtures of the 2026–27 season. No opponent has scored more than once against them in a league match so far this campaign.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.