Portsmouth FC — Blackburn Rovers: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.1% |
| 12 | 72.9% | |
| X2 | 55.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.9% / 8.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.3% / 26.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.5% / 52.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.9% / 74.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026
Portsmouth FC
18th place · 7 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 away Charlton 0:0
- 05.09.2026 home Cardiff 2:0
- 01.09.2026 home Derby 0:2
- 29.08.2026 away Bristol City 1:2
- 22.08.2026 away Lincoln 3:1
Blackburn Rovers
16th place · 8 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 home Millwall 3:1
- 08.09.2026 home Sheffield United 1:2
- 05.09.2026 away Preston 1:2
- 01.09.2026 away Lincoln 0:0
- 29.08.2026 home QPR 1:2
This season: Portsmouth FC at home vs Blackburn Rovers away
| Metric | Portsmouth FC · at home | Blackburn Rovers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–2 | 0–2–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| xG for per match | 1.70 | 0.72 |
| xG against per match | 1.33 | 1.87 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 7.33 | 7.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 07.03.2026 Blackburn Rovers 1:1 Portsmouth FC
- 13.12.2025 Portsmouth FC 2:1 Blackburn Rovers
- 29.03.2025 Portsmouth FC 1:0 Blackburn Rovers
- 15.01.2025 Blackburn Rovers 3:0 Portsmouth FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Portsmouth FC host Blackburn Rovers in a Championship meeting where the overall assessment gives the home side a slight edge. The confidence in that reading is high, although the gap between the teams is not presented as decisive. Portsmouth FC may have the more favorable platform at home, while Blackburn Rovers remain sufficiently competitive to keep the contest open.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with a balanced view on whether both teams will find the net. That points toward a game in which neither side is clearly expected to control every phase, and where the margin could remain narrow. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:0, and 2:1, reflecting both the home advantage and the possibility of a closely contested draw. Overall, the signal favors Portsmouth FC avoiding defeat, but Blackburn Rovers have a realistic path to taking a point or making the result competitive late into the match.
What matters before kick-off
Recent League Results
Portsmouth enter the fixture following a goalless draw against Charlton Athletic, while Blackburn Rovers snapped a four-game winless league run with a 3-1 victory over Millwall.
Squad Injury Concerns
Portsmouth's unavailable players include Josh Murphy and Connor Ogilvie, while Blackburn Rovers are missing Yuki Ohashi and Mathias Jorgensen due to injury.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.