Preston North End — Wolverhampton Wanderers: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 52.1% |
| 12 | 71.4% | |
| X2 | 76.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.5% / 8.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.7% / 22.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.3% / 70.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.2% / 85.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.9% / 94.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.08.2026
Preston North End
17th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 away Bolton 1:2
- 02.05.2026 home Southampton 1:3
- 25.04.2026 away Sheffield United 3:2
- 22.04.2026 away Birmingham 1:2
- 18.04.2026 home West Brom 0:2
Wolverhampton Wanderers
9th place · 1 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 14.08.2026 home Blackburn 2:2
- 24.05.2026 away Burnley 1:1
- 17.05.2026 home Fulham 1:1
- 09.05.2026 away Brighton 0:3
- 02.05.2026 home Sunderland 1:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Preston North End face Wolverhampton Wanderers in a Championship match where the visitors hold a slight edge. The assessment points towards Wolverhampton Wanderers being better placed overall, while Preston North End remain competitive enough to keep the contest balanced for long periods. The expected pattern is not one-sided, with a moderate level of scoring anticipated.
The possibility of both teams scoring is finely balanced, so the match could develop in more than one direction. A draw remains a credible scenario, particularly if Preston North End can limit the visitors’ attacking opportunities and maintain their defensive shape. Wolverhampton Wanderers, however, appear more likely to avoid defeat, with their advantage reflected in the range of plausible scorelines. A tight draw or a narrow away victory fits the available indications better than a clear home win.
What matters before kick-off
Wolverhampton Wanderers key player injury blows
Wolverhampton Wanderers head coach Cesar Peixoto confirmed that Kieran Trippier and Yerson Mosquera will miss the match against Preston North End after suffering injuries early in the season.
Suspension for Preston North End defender
Preston North End defender Lewis Gibson remains unavailable through suspension following his red card in the Carabao Cup fixture against Huddersfield Town.
Sold-out away section for Wolverhampton Wanderers
A sold-out away allocation of 5,600 fans will support Wolverhampton Wanderers at Deepdale for their first away fixture of the 2026/27 Championship season against Preston North End.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.