Preston North End — Blackburn Rovers: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.6% |
| 12 | 71.9% | |
| X2 | 61.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.0% / 47.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.6% / 8.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.4% / 26.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.7% / 74.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.8% / 88.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Preston North End
24th place · 0 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.09.2026 home Bristol City 1:3
- 29.08.2026 away Charlton 0:1
- 22.08.2026 home Wolves 1:3
- 15.08.2026 away Bolton 1:2
- 02.05.2026 home Southampton 1:3
Blackburn Rovers
14th place · 5 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.09.2026 away Lincoln 0:0
- 29.08.2026 home QPR 1:2
- 22.08.2026 home Middlesbrough 2:1
- 14.08.2026 away Wolves 2:2
- 02.05.2026 home Leicester 0:1
This season: Preston North End at home vs Blackburn Rovers away
| Metric | Preston North End · at home | Blackburn Rovers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–2 | 0–2–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.29 | 0.54 |
| xG against per match | 1.70 | 1.72 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 20.02.2026 Blackburn Rovers 1:0 Preston North End
- 21.11.2025 Preston North End 1:2 Blackburn Rovers
- 31.01.2025 Blackburn Rovers 2:1 Preston North End
- 22.09.2024 Preston North End 0:0 Blackburn Rovers
- 17.02.2024 Preston North End 2:2 Blackburn Rovers
- 10.11.2023 Blackburn Rovers 1:2 Preston North End
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Preston North End and Blackburn Rovers meet in a Championship fixture that looks finely balanced. The available assessment points to an evenly matched contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. A moderate level of confidence supports that view, while the market signal suggests some protection for Preston North End, though not enough to make the hosts clear favourites.
The match is expected to sit in the medium-scoring range. Both teams scoring remains difficult to call, so the game could develop through a cautious opening before becoming more open as it progresses. The most plausible outcomes include a balanced draw, alongside narrow wins for either Preston North End or Blackburn Rovers. That range reflects the limited separation between the teams and points towards a competitive match in which small moments may have a significant influence.
What matters before kick-off
Preston's league form
Preston North End started the new Championship season with four consecutive league defeats, scoring three goals and conceding nine.
Recent H2H history
Blackburn Rovers won both Championship fixtures against Preston North End last season, earning a 2-1 victory at home and a 1-0 win away.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.