Portsmouth FC — Sheffield United: Win probabilities, 14.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
42.3%
Home win
Portsmouth FC
X
28.6%
Draw
W2
29.1%
Away win
Sheffield United
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1271.4%
Both teams to score
Yes57.6%
Totals 2.5
Over52.5%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.9% |
| 12 | 71.4% | |
| X2 | 57.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.6% / 42.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.0% / 8.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.2% / 21.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.3% / 69.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.9% / 85.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.3% / 93.7% |
Goal distribution model
Portsmouth FC × Sheffield United
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.0%
0:1
6.0%
0:2
4.8%
0:3
2.0%
0:4
0.6%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
7.8%
1:1
13.6%
1:2
7.4%
1:3
3.1%
1:4
0.9%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.3%
2:1
9.1%
2:2
5.7%
2:3
2.3%
2:4
0.7%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
3.7%
3:1
4.7%
3:2
2.9%
3:3
1.2%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.4%
4:1
1.8%
4:2
1.1%
4:3
0.5%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.4%
5:1
0.5%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.6%
2:19.1%
0:08.0%
1:07.8%
1:27.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.10.2026
Portsmouth FC
19th place · 8 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Blackburn 2:2
- 12.09.2026 away Charlton 0:0
- 05.09.2026 home Cardiff 2:0
- 01.09.2026 home Derby 0:2
- 29.08.2026 away Bristol City 1:2
Sheffield United
18th place · 9 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Stoke 1:2
- 13.09.2026 home Wolves 0:1
- 08.09.2026 away Blackburn 2:1
- 05.09.2026 home Norwich 1:3
- 01.09.2026 home Bolton 3:2
This season: Portsmouth FC at home vs Sheffield United away
| Metric | Portsmouth FC · at home | Sheffield United · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–2 | 1–2–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| xG for per match | 1.67 | 1.03 |
| xG against per match | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.25 | 3.25 |
| Corners per match | 7.75 | 2.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
Portsmouth FC wins0
Draws1
Sheffield United wins3
Goals per match1.75
Both teams scored1/4
Over 2.5 goals2/4
- 14.02.2026 Portsmouth FC 0:1 Sheffield United
- 26.11.2025 Sheffield United 3:0 Portsmouth FC
- 08.02.2025 Sheffield United 2:1 Portsmouth FC
- 28.09.2024 Portsmouth FC 0:0 Sheffield United
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.