Lincoln City — West Ham United: Win probabilities, 14.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
17.9%
Home win
Lincoln City
X
24.1%
Draw
W2
58.0%
Away win
West Ham United
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X282.1%
Both teams to score
Yes57.9%
Totals 2.5
Over59.1%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 42.0% |
| 12 | 75.9% | |
| X2 | 82.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.9% / 42.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.9% / 6.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.4% / 17.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.1% / 40.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.7% / 63.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.6% / 80.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Goal distribution model
Lincoln City × West Ham United
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.1%
0:1
8.0%
0:2
9.4%
0:3
6.3%
0:4
3.2%
0:5
1.3%
1
1:0
3.5%
1:1
11.3%
1:2
9.9%
1:3
6.7%
1:4
3.3%
1:5
1.3%
2
2:0
2.6%
2:1
5.2%
2:2
5.3%
2:3
3.5%
2:4
1.8%
2:5
0.7%
3
3:0
0.9%
3:1
1.8%
3:2
1.8%
3:3
1.2%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
0.2%
4:1
0.5%
4:2
0.5%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.3%
1:29.9%
0:29.4%
0:18.0%
1:36.7%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.10.2026
Lincoln City
13th place · 11 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Swansea 1:2
- 15.09.2026 away Bristol City 1:0
- 12.09.2026 away Preston 1:0
- 05.09.2026 home Southampton 1:1
- 01.09.2026 home Blackburn 0:0
West Ham United
2nd place · 15 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Millwall 2:2
- 11.09.2026 home Wrexham 6:0
- 08.09.2026 away Bolton 3:2
- 05.09.2026 home Derby 3:0
- 01.09.2026 home Wolves 4:2
This season: Lincoln City at home vs West Ham United away
| Metric | Lincoln City · at home | West Ham United · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 0–2–2 | 1–3–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| xG for per match | 1.96 | 1.58 |
| xG against per match | 0.76 | 2.04 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.75 | 8.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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