Philadelphia Union — Inter Miami CF: Win probabilities, 19.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.0% |
| 12 | 77.8% | |
| X2 | 56.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 74.5% / 25.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.3% / 2.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 91.1% / 8.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 75.2% / 24.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 55.3% / 44.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 35.8% / 64.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 20.4% / 79.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away New York City 3:2
- 02.08.2026 home Atlanta Utd 3:2
- 26.07.2026 home Seattle Sounders 1:0
- 23.07.2026 home New York Red Bulls 3:1
- 25.05.2026 away Inter Miami 4:6
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away Nashville SC 1:4
- 02.08.2026 home Columbus Crew 2:2
- 26.07.2026 away CF Montreal 1:0
- 23.07.2026 home Chicago Fire 3:2
- 25.05.2026 home Philadelphia Union 6:4
This season: Philadelphia Union at home vs Inter Miami CF away
| Metric | Philadelphia Union · at home | Inter Miami CF · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 3–3–3 | 8–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.11 | 2.27 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 73% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 64% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 25.05.2026 Inter Miami CF 6:4 Philadelphia Union
- 25.05.2025 Philadelphia Union 3:3 Inter Miami CF
- 29.03.2025 Inter Miami CF 2:1 Philadelphia Union
- 15.09.2024 Inter Miami CF 3:1 Philadelphia Union
- 16.06.2024 Philadelphia Union 1:2 Inter Miami CF
- 25.06.2023 Philadelphia Union 4:1 Inter Miami CF
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami CF appear evenly matched ahead of their MLS meeting. The available assessment points to a high-scoring contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That balance suggests the match could be shaped by how well each team manages the spaces created when attacking, rather than by a consistently dominant performance from one side.
Both teams are likely to score, making goals at both ends the central feature of the preview. The projected outcomes include several close scorelines, which reinforces the expectation of a competitive game with limited separation between Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami CF. A draw or a narrow win for either team would fit the underlying assessment, while an open rhythm could create opportunities throughout the match. The strongest analytical signal is therefore not a specific result, but the combination of an evenly matched encounter and a high-scoring pattern.
What matters before kick-off
Inter Miami's recent defeat
Inter Miami suffered a 4-1 defeat against Nashville SC in their previous MLS match before visiting Philadelphia Union.
Philadelphia Union's winning streak
Philadelphia Union entered the match against Inter Miami on a four-game winning streak in MLS.
Previous head-to-head result
In their previous encounter on May 24, 2026, Inter Miami defeated Philadelphia Union 6-4.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.