New York Red Bulls — Nashville SC: Win probabilities, 19.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 61.6% |
| 12 | 75.2% | |
| X2 | 63.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.7% / 33.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.5% / 4.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.4% / 14.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.7% / 35.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.6% / 57.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.3% / 75.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.1% / 87.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away Atlanta Utd 1:2
- 02.08.2026 home Orlando City 3:2
- 25.07.2026 home Charlotte 0:2
- 23.07.2026 away Philadelphia Union 1:3
- 24.05.2026 away Sporting Kansas City 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 home Inter Miami 4:1
- 02.08.2026 away DC United 2:2
- 26.07.2026 away Orlando City 0:1
- 23.07.2026 home CF Montreal 1:0
- 18.07.2026 home Atlanta Utd 1:0
This season: New York Red Bulls at home vs Nashville SC away
| Metric | New York Red Bulls · at home | Nashville SC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 4–2–3 | 4–3–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.78 | 1.11 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 0.56 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 22% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 15.05.2025 Nashville SC 2:1 New York Red Bulls
- 02.03.2025 New York Red Bulls 2:0 Nashville SC
- 16.06.2024 New York Red Bulls 0:0 Nashville SC
- 25.02.2024 Nashville SC 0:0 New York Red Bulls
- 21.10.2023 Nashville SC 0:1 New York Red Bulls
- 05.03.2023 New York Red Bulls 0:0 Nashville SC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC appear evenly matched ahead of their MLS meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, suggesting a contest that could remain balanced through much of the match. With moderate confidence in this reading, the outcome is difficult to separate on the information provided.
The main expectation is an open, high-scoring game in which both New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC have a strong chance of finding the net. That points toward an exchange of attacking moments rather than a cautious, low-event encounter. The most plausible scorelines reflect the narrow balance between the teams, with 1:1, 1:2 and 2:1 all identified as likely possibilities. A draw remains a credible outcome, but either side could also edge the match if it makes better use of its opportunities in the final third.
What matters before kick-off
Recent team results
New York Red Bulls enter the match following a 2-1 loss against Atlanta United. Meanwhile, Nashville SC head into the fixture after securing a 4-1 victory over Inter Miami.
Head-to-head record
New York Red Bulls have won four of the previous nine meetings between the sides. Nashville SC have managed just one win during that period, alongside four draws.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.