DC United — New England Revolution: Win probabilities, 19.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.4% |
| 12 | 73.2% | |
| X2 | 63.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.0% / 37.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.5% / 17.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.2% / 40.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.9% / 63.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.7% / 80.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away CF Montreal 1:1
- 02.08.2026 home Nashville SC 2:2
- 26.07.2026 home Toronto FC 2:1
- 23.07.2026 away Houston Dynamo 1:1
- 24.05.2026 home CF Montreal 4:4
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away Toronto FC 1:2
- 08.08.2026 home Houston Dynamo 0:2
- 02.08.2026 away CF Montreal 2:2
- 26.07.2026 home Atlanta Utd 4:1
- 23.07.2026 home Toronto FC 0:0
This season: DC United at home vs New England Revolution away
| Metric | DC United · at home | New England Revolution · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 8 |
| W–D–L | 3–3–3 | 1–2–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.11 | 1.88 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 63% |
| Both teams scored | 78% | 75% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 12.04.2026 New England Revolution 1:0 DC United
- 10.08.2025 New England Revolution 2:0 DC United
- 29.05.2025 DC United 1:1 New England Revolution
- 06.10.2024 New England Revolution 1:2 DC United
- 25.02.2024 DC United 3:1 New England Revolution
- 16.07.2023 New England Revolution 4:0 DC United
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
DC United and New England Revolution look evenly matched ahead of their MLS meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That suggests a contest likely to be decided by small details, particularly in how each team manages transitions and responds when the match becomes open.
The game is projected to be medium-scoring, with both teams likely to score. New England Revolution have a slight edge in the market signal, but that does not remove the possibility of a draw or a narrow result for either side. Plausible scenarios include a balanced draw or a close away win, while a narrow victory for DC United also remains within the expected range. Overall, the match appears finely balanced, with goals at both ends more likely than a one-sided performance.
What matters before kick-off
DC United's 20th match of the season
D.C. United hosts the New England Revolution at Audi Field on August 19, 2026, marking the team's 20th match of the 2026 MLS regular season.
New England's ongoing road trip
The New England Revolution visit D.C. United as part of a busy week on the road in MLS regular season play.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.