Columbus Crew — CF Montreal: Win probabilities, 19.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.5% |
| 12 | 76.8% | |
| X2 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.4% / 37.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.1% / 4.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.0% / 15.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.7% / 36.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.6% / 58.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.4% / 76.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.5% / 88.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away Charlotte 1:3
- 02.08.2026 away Inter Miami 2:2
- 26.07.2026 home FC Cincinnati 2:1
- 23.07.2026 home New York City 1:2
- 24.05.2026 home Atlanta Utd 2:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 home DC United 1:1
- 02.08.2026 home New England Revolution 2:2
- 26.07.2026 home Inter Miami 0:1
- 23.07.2026 away Nashville SC 0:1
- 17.07.2026 home Toronto FC 0:0
This season: Columbus Crew at home vs CF Montreal away
| Metric | Columbus Crew · at home | CF Montreal · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 4–2–3 | 1–1–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.78 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 89% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 44% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 15.05.2025 CF Montreal 1:1 Columbus Crew
- 06.04.2025 Columbus Crew 2:1 CF Montreal
- 16.05.2024 CF Montreal 1:3 Columbus Crew
- 28.04.2024 Columbus Crew 0:0 CF Montreal
- 21.10.2023 Columbus Crew 2:1 CF Montreal
- 03.09.2023 CF Montreal 2:4 Columbus Crew
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Columbus Crew have a slight edge over CF Montreal in this MLS matchup, although the moderate confidence level suggests a competitive contest rather than a one-sided affair. The available assessment points toward an open game, with attacking exchanges likely to shape the match more than cautious defensive play. Columbus Crew may have the stronger overall outlook, but CF Montreal remain well placed to contribute to the scoreline.
Both teams are likely to score, making the BTTS market the clearest signal in the assessment. The expected pattern is a high-scoring encounter with several plausible outcomes, including a draw or a narrow home victory. Columbus Crew could find a way to make their advantage count, yet CF Montreal's potential attacking contribution means the hosts are unlikely to have complete control throughout.
What matters before kick-off
Team availability updates
Columbus Crew will be without Wessam Abou Ali, Sekou Bangoura, and Jamal Thiare due to injury, while CF Montréal are missing Frankie Amaya, Wiki Carmona, Josh-Duc Nteziryayo, Bode Hidalgo, and Efrain Morales.
Recent team form
Columbus Crew enter the match after a 3-1 away loss to Charlotte FC ended their four-match unbeaten streak, while CF Montréal drew 1-1 against D.C. United in their last fixture.
Coaching link between clubs
Columbus Crew interim head coach Laurent Courtois faces his former team CF Montréal for the first time since managing the Canadian side from January 2024 to March 2025.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.