PFC Levski Sofia — FC Salzburg: Win probabilities, 17.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 53.0% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 72.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.9% / 38.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.4% / 5.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.5% / 17.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.8% / 40.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.4% / 62.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.1% / 79.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.4% / 90.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
PFC Levski Sofia and FC Salzburg meet in the UEFA Europa League with a slight edge for the visitors. The assessment points toward a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest, with the moderate confidence reflecting some uncertainty around the final outcome. FC Salzburg appear better positioned to avoid defeat, although PFC Levski Sofia remain capable of making the game difficult on their own ground.
The main expectation is an open, high-scoring encounter in which both teams are likely to find the net. That combination leaves room for several plausible outcomes, including a draw or a narrow FC Salzburg victory, while PFC Levski Sofia also have a route to success if they make the most of their opportunities. Overall, the X2 signal supports caution against backing a home win, but the balance of the match still suggests a competitive contest rather than a clear mismatch.
What matters before kick-off
Europa League Matchday 1 clash
Bulgaria's Levski Sofia host Austrian side FC Salzburg at the Vasil Levski National Stadium in Sofia for Matchday 1 of the 2026/27 UEFA Europa League league phase.
Previous head-to-head record
Levski Sofia and Salzburg previously met in the 2009/10 UEFA Europa League group stage, with the Austrian club securing 1-0 victories in both fixtures.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.