FC Viktoria Plzen — Union Saint-Gilloise: Win probabilities, 17.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.4% |
| 12 | 74.0% | |
| X2 | 62.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.3% / 35.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.6% / 5.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.6% / 16.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.2% / 38.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.9% / 61.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.2% / 78.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.1% / 89.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Viktoria Plzen face Union Saint-Gilloise in the UEFA Europa League on 17 September 2026. The available assessment points to an evenly matched contest, with moderate confidence and no clear overall superiority for either side. That suggests a game likely to be decided by small tactical details, such as how effectively each team manages transitions and makes use of its attacking phases.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with both teams likely to score. The most representative scoreline is 1:1, while 2:1 and 1:2 also reflect the narrow balance between the sides. FC Viktoria Plzen may have a slight advantage from playing at home, but Union Saint-Gilloise have a credible route to taking control if they can disrupt the hosts' rhythm. Overall, the outlook favours a competitive match in which neither team is clearly ahead before kick-off.
What matters before kick-off
Viktoria Plzen recent domestic result
Viktoria Plzen entered the Europa League fixture coming off a 3-2 defeat at home to Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Chance Liga.
Union Saint-Gilloise strong domestic form
Union Saint-Gilloise headed into the Europa League matchday following a 5-0 victory over Lommel SK in the Belgian Pro League.
First head-to-head encounter
This UEFA Europa League league phase match represents the first-ever official meeting between FC Viktoria Plzen and Union Saint-Gilloise.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.