Lillestroem SK — SCU Torreense: Win probabilities, 17.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.5% |
| 12 | 76.8% | |
| X2 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.0% / 40.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.8% / 5.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.1% / 16.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.0% / 39.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.7% / 61.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.1% / 78.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.0% / 90.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Lillestroem SK face SCU Torreense in the UEFA Europa League with the hosts holding a moderate but clear edge in the pre-match assessment. The available signals point toward Lillestroem SK being the stronger side, although the level of confidence is not strong enough to suggest a predictable outcome. SCU Torreense remain capable of making the contest competitive, particularly if they can limit the hosts’ attacking influence.
The match is projected to have a high-scoring profile, with scorelines such as 2-1 and 2-0 among the likeliest possibilities, while 1-1 is also considered plausible. The expectation that both teams will score is evenly balanced, so there is no clear indication that either side will keep a clean sheet or that both attacks will definitely find the net. Overall, the analysis favours Lillestroem SK, but the moderate confidence points to a match that could still develop in more than one direction.
What matters before kick-off
Europa League Matchday 1 Fixture
Norwegian side Lillestrøm hosts Portuguese club SC União Torreense at Åråsen Stadion in the opening fixture of the UEFA Europa League league phase on 17 September 2026.
First Ever Head-to-Head Meeting
Lillestrøm SK and SC União Torreense have never previously faced each other in official UEFA competitions.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.