Celtic Glasgow — Ferencvarosi Budapest: Win probabilities, 17.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.0% |
| 12 | 77.9% | |
| X2 | 42.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.9% / 38.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.6% / 4.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.0% / 15.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.2% / 35.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.1% / 57.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.9% / 76.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.8% / 88.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 17.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.09.2026 away St Johnstone 1:0
- 05.09.2026 away St Mirren 2:1
- 02.09.2026 home Aberdeen 3:0
- 29.08.2026 home Falkirk 2:1
- 22.08.2026 away St Johnstone 0:0
Ferencvarosi Budapest
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 13.08.2026 away Gornik Zabrze 1:1
- 05.08.2026 home Gornik Zabrze 1:0
- 30.07.2026 home FC Twente Enschede 2:2
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Celtic Glasgow have a slight edge over Ferencvarosi Budapest in this UEFA Europa League meeting, although the moderate confidence suggests a contest with meaningful uncertainty. Home advantage may help Celtic Glasgow take the initiative, particularly if they can establish control in midfield and move the ball forward with purpose. Ferencvarosi Budapest should still have opportunities to threaten, especially if they can exploit spaces during transitions.
The overall outlook points towards an open, high-scoring match rather than a tightly controlled defensive battle. Both teams are likely to score, which could make the result dependent on how effectively each side manages the periods after losing possession. A draw remains a credible possibility, while a narrow Celtic Glasgow victory also fits the broader assessment. The most plausible scorelines indicate a match that could remain competitive deep into the second half, with neither side expected to find it easy to create a decisive separation.
What matters before kick-off
Recent team results
Scottish club Celtic enter their Europa League opener following a 3-0 Scottish League Cup defeat against Rangers. Meanwhile, Hungarian side Ferencvaros secured their league-phase place after beating Trabzonspor 5-0 on aggregate in the play-off round.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.