Juventus Turin — NEC Nijmegen: Win probabilities, 17.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 94.7% |
| 12 | 88.8% | |
| X2 | 16.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.2% / 52.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.3% / 2.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.6% / 11.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 71.5% / 28.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 50.6% / 49.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 31.3% / 68.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.0% / 83.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 17.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 13.09.2026 away Sassuolo 2:3
- 06.09.2026 home Milan 1:1
- 29.08.2026 home Parma 2:0
- 23.08.2026 away Frosinone 1:0
- 24.05.2026 away Torino 2:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 away Cambuur 0:3
- 08.09.2026 home Excelsior 2:2
- 05.09.2026 home Feyenoord 1:3
- 29.08.2026 away Zwolle 3:1
- 22.08.2026 home Excelsior 0:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Juventus Turin face NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Europa League on 17 September 2026. The available assessment gives Juventus Turin a clear advantage, with high confidence in the home side’s overall strength. That points to a match in which Juventus Turin are expected to control more of the play and create the better opportunities, while NEC Nijmegen may have to spend long periods defending and looking for openings on the break.
The game is also projected to be high-scoring, although the prospect of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. That leaves room for different match patterns: Juventus Turin could impose themselves and keep a clean sheet, but NEC Nijmegen may still contribute if they exploit transitions or moments of defensive uncertainty. The most plausible scorelines indicate a Juventus Turin victory by a margin of one or more goals, with results such as 2-0, 3-0, or 2-1 reflecting the expected balance between home superiority and an open attacking contest.
What matters before kick-off
Juventus recent result
Juventus head into their Europa League opener following a 3-2 defeat against Sassuolo in Serie A on Sunday.
Juventus midfield injuries
Juventus midfielder Manuel Locatelli faces around five months out after knee surgery, while Khephren Thuram is also sidelined through injury.
NEC Nijmegen prior season accomplishment
Dutch side NEC Nijmegen qualified for European competition after finishing third in the Eredivisie last season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.