OFI Crete — TSG Hoffenheim: Win probabilities, 17.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 26.6% |
| 12 | 84.0% | |
| X2 | 89.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.3% / 43.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.9% / 3.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.2% / 12.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.8% / 31.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 28.4% / 71.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.9% / 85.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
OFI Crete face TSG Hoffenheim in the UEFA Europa League, with the available assessment giving TSG Hoffenheim a clear advantage. The edge is meaningful but not absolute, as the confidence level is moderate rather than decisive. That points to a match where the visitors are better positioned overall, while OFI Crete still have a realistic opportunity to make the contest competitive.
The scoring outlook is high, suggesting an open game with several attacking moments rather than a tightly controlled encounter. Whether both teams score remains finely balanced, so the main distinction lies in the expected strength of TSG Hoffenheim rather than a firm view on OFI Crete finding the net. The most consistent scoreline range supports an away win, with results such as 0:2, 1:2, or 0:3 reflecting different levels of resistance from OFI Crete. Overall, the analytical signal favours TSG Hoffenheim, but the moderate confidence advises against treating the outcome as certain.
What matters before kick-off
First official head-to-head meeting
The Matchday 1 league phase fixture marks the first official head-to-head meeting between OFI Crete and TSG Hoffenheim, as well as Hoffenheim's first-ever game against Greek opposition.
OFI Crete's return to European main draw
OFI Crete secured their place in the UEFA Europa League league phase by defeating CSKA Sofia 5-0 on aggregate in the qualification play-off round.
Recent league victories for both sides
Both clubs enter the fixture following domestic league wins, with TSG Hoffenheim defeating VfB Stuttgart 2-1 and OFI Crete beating Olympiacos 1-0 on the preceding weekend.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.