Parma Calcio — Torino FC: Win probabilities, 19.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
31.2%
Home win
Parma Calcio
X
29.2%
Draw
W2
39.6%
Away win
Torino FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1270.8%
Both teams to score
No50.5%
Totals 2.5
Under56.9%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 60.4% |
| 12 | 70.8% | |
| X2 | 68.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.5% / 50.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.1% / 9.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 70.0% / 30.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 43.1% / 56.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.2% / 77.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.6% / 90.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.6% / 96.4% |
Goal distribution model
Parma Calcio × Torino FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.9%
0:1
10.8%
0:2
7.5%
0:3
3.2%
0:4
1.0%
0:5
0.3%
1
1:0
9.3%
1:1
13.8%
1:2
8.4%
1:3
3.6%
1:4
1.2%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
5.6%
2:1
7.2%
2:2
4.7%
2:3
2.0%
2:4
0.6%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
2.1%
3:1
2.7%
3:2
1.7%
3:3
0.7%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.6%
4:1
0.8%
4:2
0.5%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.2%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.8%
0:110.8%
0:09.9%
1:09.3%
1:28.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.10.2026
Parma Calcio
15th place · 4 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Genoa 2:1
- 14.09.2026 away Como 1:2
- 06.09.2026 home Monza 1:1
- 29.08.2026 away Juventus 0:2
- 22.08.2026 home Cagliari 0:1
Torino FC
14th place · 4 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Bologna 1:1
- 14.09.2026 home Roma 0:2
- 05.09.2026 away Fiorentina 2:1
- 29.08.2026 away Sassuolo 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Milan 1:2
This season: Parma Calcio at home vs Torino FC away
| Metric | Parma Calcio · at home | Torino FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–1 | 1–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| xG for per match | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| xG against per match | 1.12 | 1.48 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| Corners per match | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Parma Calcio wins1
Draws2
Torino FC wins3
Goals per match2.67
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 13.03.2026 Torino FC 4:1 Parma Calcio
- 29.09.2025 Parma Calcio 2:1 Torino FC
- 08.03.2025 Parma Calcio 2:2 Torino FC
- 05.01.2025 Torino FC 0:0 Parma Calcio
- 03.05.2021 Torino FC 1:0 Parma Calcio
- 03.01.2021 Parma Calcio 0:3 Torino FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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