Paris FC — Stade Rennais FC: Win probabilities, 18.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
42.2%
Home win
Paris FC
X
25.6%
Draw
W2
32.2%
Away win
Stade Rennais FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1274.4%
Both teams to score
Yes62.7%
Totals 2.5
Over59.9%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.8% |
| 12 | 74.4% | |
| X2 | 57.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.7% / 37.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.5% / 17.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.9% / 40.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.5% / 62.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.2% / 79.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.4% / 90.6% |
Goal distribution model
Paris FC × Stade Rennais FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.5%
0:1
5.5%
0:2
4.6%
0:3
2.2%
0:4
0.8%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
6.5%
1:1
11.7%
1:2
7.7%
1:3
3.7%
1:4
1.3%
1:5
0.4%
2
2:0
6.2%
2:1
9.0%
2:2
6.4%
2:3
3.1%
2:4
1.1%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
3.5%
3:1
5.0%
3:2
3.6%
3:3
1.7%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
1.4%
4:1
2.1%
4:2
1.5%
4:3
0.7%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.5%
5:1
0.7%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.7%
2:19.0%
1:27.7%
1:06.5%
2:26.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 18.10.2026
Paris FC
3rd place · 11 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Strasbourg 2:1
- 12.09.2026 home Lyon 0:0
- 06.09.2026 away Marseille 3:2
- 30.08.2026 home Nice 3:0
- 22.08.2026 away Troyes 0:0
Stade Rennais FC
5th place · 10 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Lyon 0:4
- 11.09.2026 home Marseille 1:0
- 06.09.2026 away Angers 2:1
- 30.08.2026 home Le Mans 3:2
- 23.08.2026 home Paris SG 2:2
This season: Paris FC at home vs Stade Rennais FC away
| Metric | Paris FC · at home | Stade Rennais FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–0 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.33 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.41 | 1.46 |
| xG against per match | 0.46 | 2.39 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 4.50 |
| Corners per match | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
Paris FC wins0
Draws0
Stade Rennais FC wins2
Goals per match2.00
Both teams scored1/2
Over 2.5 goals1/2
- 10.05.2026 Stade Rennais FC 2:1 Paris FC
- 07.11.2025 Paris FC 0:1 Stade Rennais FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.