Panathinaikos Athens — FK Borac Banja Luka: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
81.8%
Home win
Panathinaikos Athens
X
13.2%
Draw
W2
5.0%
Away win
FK Borac Banja Luka
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X95.0%
Both teams to score
No58.3%
Totals 2.5
Over64.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 95.0% |
| 12 | 86.8% | |
| X2 | 18.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 41.7% / 58.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.8% / 4.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.7% / 15.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.2% / 35.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.1% / 57.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.9% / 76.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.8% / 88.2% |
Goal distribution model
Panathinaikos Athens × FK Borac Banja Luka
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.2%
0:1
1.6%
0:2
0.6%
0:3
0.1%
0:4
0.0%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
9.5%
1:1
6.3%
1:2
1.7%
1:3
0.3%
1:4
0.0%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
13.6%
2:1
7.9%
2:2
2.3%
2:3
0.4%
2:4
0.1%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
12.4%
3:1
7.2%
3:2
2.1%
3:3
0.4%
3:4
0.1%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
8.4%
4:1
4.9%
4:2
1.4%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.0%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
4.6%
5:1
2.7%
5:2
0.8%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:013.6%
3:012.4%
1:09.5%
4:08.4%
2:17.9%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.10.2026
Panathinaikos Athens
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 11.08.2026 away FC CSKA 1948 2:1
- 05.08.2026 home FC CSKA 1948 1:1
- 30.07.2026 home Paksi FC 2:2
FK Borac Banja Luka
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 13.08.2026 away Maxline Vitebsk 1:2
- 06.08.2026 home Maxline Vitebsk 1:0
- 30.07.2026 away Petrocub Hincesti 3:3
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: oddmind.app. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.27 → now 1.20 |
| X | was 5.25 → now 6.25 |
| W2 | was 9.50 → now 15.00 |
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.