Kuopion Palloseura — Trabzonspor: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
12.2%
Home win
Kuopion Palloseura
X
20.5%
Draw
W2
67.2%
Away win
Trabzonspor
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X287.8%
Both teams to score
Yes51.4%
Totals 2.5
Over58.4%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 32.8% |
| 12 | 79.5% | |
| X2 | 87.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.3% / 5.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.4% / 18.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.4% / 41.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.0% / 64.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.0% / 81.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.7% / 91.3% |
Goal distribution model
Kuopion Palloseura × Trabzonspor
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.7%
0:1
9.7%
0:2
11.6%
0:3
8.4%
0:4
4.6%
0:5
2.0%
1
1:0
3.2%
1:1
9.8%
1:2
9.7%
1:3
7.1%
1:4
3.9%
1:5
1.7%
2
2:0
1.7%
2:1
3.7%
2:2
4.1%
2:3
3.0%
2:4
1.6%
2:5
0.7%
3
3:0
0.5%
3:1
1.1%
3:2
1.1%
3:3
0.8%
3:4
0.5%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
0.1%
4:1
0.2%
4:2
0.2%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.0%
5:2
0.0%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
0:211.6%
1:19.8%
1:29.7%
0:19.7%
0:38.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.10.2026
Kuopion Palloseura
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 13.08.2026 away CS Universitatea Craiova 1:2
- 06.08.2026 home CS Universitatea Craiova 1:1
- 28.07.2026 home Sabah Masazir 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Galatasaray 4:0
- 12.09.2026 away Konyaspor 0:1
- 06.09.2026 home Genclerbirligi 5:0
- 31.08.2026 away Amedspor 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Buyuksehyr 2:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 6.25 → now 7.00 |
| X | was 4.00 → now 4.33 |
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.