Mjallby AIF — Inter Club de Escaldes: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
73.1%
Home win
Mjallby AIF
X
16.5%
Draw
W2
10.4%
Away win
Inter Club de Escaldes
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X89.6%
Both teams to score
No52.4%
Totals 2.5
Over59.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 89.6% |
| 12 | 83.5% | |
| X2 | 26.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.6% / 52.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.6% / 4.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.3% / 18.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.7% / 40.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.4% / 62.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.1% / 79.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.4% / 90.6% |
Goal distribution model
Mjallby AIF × Inter Club de Escaldes
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.4%
0:1
3.6%
0:2
1.3%
0:3
0.3%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
10.8%
1:1
7.8%
1:2
3.0%
1:3
0.8%
1:4
0.1%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
12.4%
2:1
9.3%
2:2
3.5%
2:3
0.9%
2:4
0.2%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
9.7%
3:1
7.3%
3:2
2.7%
3:3
0.7%
3:4
0.1%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
5.7%
4:1
4.3%
4:2
1.6%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
2.7%
5:1
2.0%
5:2
0.8%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:012.4%
1:010.8%
3:09.7%
2:19.3%
1:17.8%
Odds movement
| X | was 4.75 → now 5.25 |
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