KF Egnatia Rrogozhine — FC Midtjylland: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
13.5%
Home win
KF Egnatia Rrogozhine
X
20.8%
Draw
W2
65.7%
Away win
FC Midtjylland
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X286.5%
Both teams to score
Yes50.9%
Totals 2.5
Over56.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 34.3% |
| 12 | 79.2% | |
| X2 | 86.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.9% / 49.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.2% / 5.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.0% / 20.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.7% / 43.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.3% / 65.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.7% / 82.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.9% / 92.1% |
Goal distribution model
KF Egnatia Rrogozhine × FC Midtjylland
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.8%
0:1
10.4%
0:2
11.5%
0:3
8.1%
0:4
4.3%
0:5
1.8%
1
1:0
3.8%
1:1
9.9%
1:2
9.8%
1:3
6.9%
1:4
3.6%
1:5
1.5%
2
2:0
1.9%
2:1
4.0%
2:2
4.2%
2:3
2.9%
2:4
1.5%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
0.5%
3:1
1.1%
3:2
1.2%
3:3
0.8%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
0.1%
4:1
0.2%
4:2
0.3%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.0%
5:2
0.0%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
0:211.5%
0:110.4%
1:19.9%
1:29.8%
0:38.1%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.10.2026
KF Egnatia Rrogozhine
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 13.08.2026 home Shamrock Rovers 5:1
- 04.08.2026 away Shamrock Rovers 1:3
- 28.07.2026 away NK Celje 3:6
FC Midtjylland
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 13.08.2026 home Bohemians Dublin FC 3:2
- 06.08.2026 away Bohemians Dublin FC 2:0
- 30.07.2026 home Besiktas Istanbul 0:2
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: oddmind.app. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 6.00 → now 6.50 |
| X | was 4.10 → now 4.33 |
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.