Nottingham Forest — Tottenham Hotspur: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.6% |
| 12 | 72.6% | |
| X2 | 60.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.1% / 40.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.0% / 7.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.2% / 20.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.5% / 45.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.2% / 67.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.2% / 83.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.1% / 92.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Nottingham Forest
14th place · 1 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Liverpool 2:2
- 22.08.2026 home Leeds 0:1
- 24.05.2026 home Bournemouth 1:1
- 17.05.2026 away Man United 2:3
- 10.05.2026 home Newcastle 1:1
Tottenham Hotspur
19th place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Newcastle 0:2
- 22.08.2026 away Brentford 0:3
- 24.05.2026 home Everton 1:0
- 19.05.2026 away Chelsea 1:2
- 11.05.2026 home Leeds 1:1
This season: Nottingham Forest at home vs Tottenham Hotspur away
| Metric | Nottingham Forest · at home | Tottenham Hotspur · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.66 | 0.57 |
| xG against per match | 0.47 | 3.88 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 22.03.2026 Tottenham Hotspur 0:3 Nottingham Forest
- 14.12.2025 Nottingham Forest 3:0 Tottenham Hotspur
- 21.04.2025 Tottenham Hotspur 1:2 Nottingham Forest
- 26.12.2024 Nottingham Forest 1:0 Tottenham Hotspur
- 07.04.2024 Tottenham Hotspur 3:1 Nottingham Forest
- 15.12.2023 Nottingham Forest 0:2 Tottenham Hotspur
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Nottingham Forest and Tottenham Hotspur meet in what looks like an evenly matched EPL contest. Neither side has a clear advantage in the available assessment, and the moderate confidence level points to a game where small details may have a significant influence. The balance between the teams makes a cautious reading more appropriate than any strong prediction.
The scoring outlook is medium, with both teams likely to find the net. That suggests an open enough match for chances at both ends, while still leaving room for periods of control and defensive organisation. Nottingham Forest hold a slight positional edge in the market signal, particularly through the protection offered by avoiding an away win, but Tottenham Hotspur remain fully capable of competing on equal terms. A close match with goals from both sides is the most consistent interpretation of the available information.
What matters before kick-off
Nottingham Forest Recent Result
Nottingham Forest entered the match following a 2-2 draw away at Liverpool in their previous Premier League fixture.
Tottenham Hotspur Season Start
Tottenham Hotspur lost their opening two Premier League fixtures against Brentford (0-3) and Newcastle United (0-2) without scoring a goal.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.