Match intelligence

Newell's Old Boys — CA Talleres de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 25.07.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Newell's Old Boys1
:
0CA Talleres de Cordoba
Locked signal 1X Probability 67.2% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 34.1% Home win Newell's Old Boys
X 33.1% Draw
W2 32.8% Away win CA Talleres de Cordoba
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X67.2%
Both teams to score
No51.7%
Totals 2.5
Under60.4%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X67.2%
1266.9%
X265.9%
Both teams to scoreYes/No48.3% / 51.7%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 87.4% / 12.6%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 68.5% / 31.5%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 39.6% / 60.4%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 19.5% / 80.5%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 8.0% / 92.0%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 2.8% / 97.2%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Newell's Old Boys × CA Talleres de Cordoba
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 12.6%
0:1 9.3%
0:2 6.5%
0:3 2.4%
0:4 0.7%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 9.6%
1:1 15.6%
1:2 7.5%
1:3 2.8%
1:4 0.8%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 6.8%
2:1 7.6%
2:2 4.3%
2:3 1.6%
2:4 0.5%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 2.6%
3:1 2.9%
3:2 1.6%
3:3 0.6%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 0.7%
4:1 0.8%
4:2 0.5%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:115.6%
0:012.6%
1:09.6%
0:19.3%
2:17.6%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 25.07.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 04.05.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 1:1
  • 26.04.2026 home Instituto 1:1
  • 18.04.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 3:2
  • 12.04.2026 home San Lorenzo 0:0
  • 06.04.2026 away Central Cordoba 3:1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 09.05.2026 home Belgrano 0:1
  • 02.05.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 1:1
  • 25.04.2026 away Estudiantes L.P. 0:0
  • 20.04.2026 home Dep. Riestra 2:0
  • 13.04.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 2:1

This season: Newell's Old Boys at home vs CA Talleres de Cordoba away

Metric Newell's Old Boys · at home CA Talleres de Cordoba · away
Matches89
W–D–L1–4–33–4–2
Goals scored per match0.750.89
Goals conceded per match1.250.89
Over 2.5 goals13%33%
Both teams scored50%56%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Newell's Old Boys wins4
Draws1
CA Talleres de Cordoba wins1
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored5/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
  • 24.01.2026 CA Talleres de Cordoba 2:1 Newell's Old Boys
  • 15.12.2024 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:3 Newell's Old Boys
  • 28.07.2023 Newell's Old Boys 1:1 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 14.06.2022 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:1 Newell's Old Boys
  • 28.02.2022 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:2 Newell's Old Boys
  • 17.07.2021 Newell's Old Boys 3:2 CA Talleres de Cordoba

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Newell's Old Boys and CA Talleres de Cordoba appear closely matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, with a moderate level of confidence in an even contest. Newell's Old Boys may have a slight positional edge as the home team, but CA Talleres de Cordoba remain well placed to make the match competitive.

The game is expected to be low-scoring, which points toward a cautious tactical battle rather than an open exchange of chances. Both teams scoring is difficult to separate, so either a narrow margin or a draw fits the overall picture. Scorelines such as 1-1, 0-0 and 1-0 reflect that balance, with the result likely to be decided by a small detail if either side can create a decisive moment.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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