CA River Plate (ARG) — CA Barracas Central: Win probabilities, 25.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 93.1% |
| 12 | 78.6% | |
| X2 | 28.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 33.0% / 67.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.9% / 10.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 70.3% / 29.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 43.1% / 56.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.2% / 77.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.6% / 90.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.6% / 96.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.05.2026 home Belgrano 2:3
- 16.05.2026 home Rosario Central 1:0
- 14.05.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 2:0
- 10.05.2026 home San Lorenzo 1:1
- 03.05.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.05.2026 home Banfield 1:2
- 25.04.2026 away Racing Club 1:1
- 20.04.2026 home Belgrano 0:0
- 12.04.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:1
- 02.04.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 1:2
This season: CA River Plate (ARG) at home vs CA Barracas Central away
| Metric | CA River Plate (ARG) · at home | CA Barracas Central · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 8 |
| W–D–L | 7–1–4 | 2–4–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.67 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 24.01.2026 CA Barracas Central 0:1 CA River Plate (ARG)
- 13.05.2025 CA River Plate (ARG) 3:0 CA Barracas Central
- 10.11.2024 CA River Plate (ARG) 3:0 CA Barracas Central
- 01.02.2024 CA Barracas Central 0:2 CA River Plate (ARG)
- 28.08.2023 CA River Plate (ARG) 5:1 CA Barracas Central
- 01.07.2023 CA Barracas Central 2:1 CA River Plate (ARG)
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA River Plate (ARG) come into this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting as the clearly stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the assessment should be treated with appropriate caution. CA Barracas Central face a difficult task against a home team whose overall profile points toward control of the match and a greater likelihood of creating the decisive opportunities.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, with a clean sheet considered likely. That combination indicates a game in which River Plate may be able to establish authority without the match necessarily becoming open or high-tempo. The most plausible scorelines are 2-0, 1-0 and 3-0, all of which reflect a home victory with Barracas Central potentially struggling to find a goal. The main analytical signal therefore favours CA River Plate (ARG), while the visitors' best route would be to keep the contest compact and limit the hosts' attacking space.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.