Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — CA Tigre: Win probabilities, 25.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.9% |
| 12 | 67.5% | |
| X2 | 72.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 34.2% / 65.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 83.3% / 16.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 26.5% / 73.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 10.6% / 89.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 3.5% / 96.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.0% / 99.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.05.2026 home Instituto 0:2
- 24.04.2026 home Rosario Central 1:2
- 18.04.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 0:1
- 12.04.2026 home Barracas Central 1:2
- 04.04.2026 away Aldosivi 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.05.2026 away Rosario Central 1:1
- 25.04.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 0:1
- 21.04.2026 home Huracan 1:1
- 12.04.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 0:0
- 02.04.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 0:2
This season: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto at home vs CA Tigre away
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto · at home | CA Tigre · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 8 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–6 | 1–4–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 0.88 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 26.01.2026 CA Tigre 2:0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto host CA Tigre in a Primera LPF, Clausura fixture that looks set to be decided by small margins. The overall assessment gives CA Tigre a slight edge, with high confidence in that reading, although the match profile does not suggest a wide gap between the sides. Estudiantes Rio Cuarto may find opportunities to keep the contest balanced, particularly if they can make the game compact and limit clear chances.
A low-scoring encounter is the central expectation, and a clean sheet appears more likely than both teams finding the net. That points toward a cautious match in which defensive structure and patience could be more influential than sustained attacking pressure. CA Tigre have the stronger position in the pre-match analysis, but the likely shape remains close enough for a draw or a narrow result to stay plausible. The signal also supports a result that avoids a defeat for the visitors, rather than indicating an open or high-scoring contest.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.