Deportivo Riestra AFBC — Boca Juniors: Win probabilities, 26.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 52.1% |
| 12 | 68.9% | |
| X2 | 79.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 31.2% / 68.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 83.1% / 16.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 25.8% / 74.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 10.2% / 89.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 3.3% / 96.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 0.9% / 99.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 26.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.05.2026 away Lanus 0:0
- 24.04.2026 home Independiente 2:0
- 20.04.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 0:2
- 11.04.2026 home Instituto 0:1
- 03.04.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.05.2026 home Huracan 1:1
- 02.05.2026 away Central Cordoba 2:1
- 24.04.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 4:0
- 19.04.2026 away River Plate 1:0
- 11.04.2026 home Independiente 1:1
This season: Deportivo Riestra AFBC at home vs Boca Juniors away
| Metric | Deportivo Riestra AFBC · at home | Boca Juniors · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 8 |
| W–D–L | 1–5–2 | 5–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 63% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 25.01.2026 Boca Juniors 1:0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
- 27.10.2024 Boca Juniors 1:1 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Deportivo Riestra AFBC face Boca Juniors in the Primera LPF Clausura, with the visitors holding a slight but credible edge. The assessment points toward a cautious contest in which Boca Juniors are better placed to control the outcome, although the margin between the teams is not expected to be wide. Deportivo Riestra AFBC will need to keep the match compact and avoid giving Boca Juniors opportunities to establish separation.
The scoring outlook is low, with a clean sheet considered more likely than both teams finding the net. That makes the opening goal especially important, as the match may be decided by a small number of clear chances rather than sustained attacking exchanges. A narrow Boca Juniors victory is the leading direction, while a goalless draw also fits the projected pattern. Deportivo Riestra AFBC remain capable of keeping the game level, but the overall reading gives Boca Juniors the stronger position.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.