Newell's Old Boys — CA Banfield: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.5% |
| 12 | 67.8% | |
| X2 | 56.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.3% / 50.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.1% / 11.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 70.7% / 29.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 42.0% / 58.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 21.3% / 78.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.3% / 96.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 23.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 home Dep. Riestra 2:0
- 09.08.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 1:2
- 02.08.2026 home Boca Juniors 2:2
- 31.07.2026 away Independiente 0:1
- 25.07.2026 home Talleres Cordoba 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 away Racing Club 1:0
- 10.08.2026 home Belgrano 0:2
- 01.08.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:0
- 28.07.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 3:2
- 25.07.2026 away Huracan 0:1
This season: Newell's Old Boys at home vs CA Banfield away
| Metric | Newell's Old Boys · at home | CA Banfield · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 3–5–3 | 2–2–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.73 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.09 | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 18% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 45% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 21.02.2026 CA Banfield 3:0 Newell's Old Boys
- 20.07.2025 Newell's Old Boys 1:2 CA Banfield
- 27.01.2025 CA Banfield 3:0 Newell's Old Boys
- 05.06.2024 CA Banfield 2:0 Newell's Old Boys
- 19.02.2023 Newell's Old Boys 2:0 CA Banfield
- 04.06.2022 CA Banfield 1:2 Newell's Old Boys
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Newell's Old Boys have a slight edge over CA Banfield in this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The overall assessment points toward the hosts avoiding defeat, with the balance tilted modestly in their favour rather than suggesting a strongly one-sided contest. CA Banfield remain close enough in the outlook to keep the draw as a significant possibility, so the match may be decided by small details and the effectiveness of each side in key moments.
The scoring expectation is moderate, indicating a game more likely to develop at a controlled tempo than become an open exchange. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, leaving that aspect finely balanced. The most plausible scorelines point to a tight encounter, with a level result among the main possibilities and a narrow Newell's Old Boys victory also well supported. Overall, the cautious reading is that Newell's Old Boys hold the better position, while CA Banfield have a realistic route to take something from the match.
What matters before kick-off
Newell's Old Boys recent result
Newell's Old Boys ended a four-match winless run by beating Deportivo Riestra 2-0 at home in their previous Clausura fixture.
Banfield's head-to-head streak
Banfield entered this match on a four-game winning streak in direct encounters against Newell's Old Boys.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.