CA Barracas Central — CA Platense: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.6% |
| 12 | 63.8% | |
| X2 | 65.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 39.2% / 60.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 82.6% / 17.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 58.2% / 41.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 29.1% / 70.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 12.2% / 87.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.3% / 95.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.3% / 98.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 23.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.08.2026 home Rosario Central 0:1
- 09.08.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 0:2
- 02.08.2026 away Dep. Riestra 1:0
- 29.07.2026 home Aldosivi 1:0
- 25.07.2026 away River Plate 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 home Boca Juniors 1:1
- 09.08.2026 away Independiente 1:0
- 03.08.2026 home Talleres Cordoba 0:4
- 30.07.2026 away Instituto 1:2
- 25.07.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 2:2
This season: CA Barracas Central at home vs CA Platense away
| Metric | CA Barracas Central · at home | CA Platense · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 4–2–4 | 2–5–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 21.02.2026 CA Platense 1:0 CA Barracas Central
- 16.08.2024 CA Platense 0:0 CA Barracas Central
- 11.04.2023 CA Barracas Central 1:0 CA Platense
- 31.07.2022 CA Platense 0:0 CA Barracas Central
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Barracas Central and CA Platense meet in the Primera LPF, Clausura in a fixture that looks finely balanced. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, with moderate confidence in an evenly matched contest. That points toward a cautious game in which control and defensive organisation may matter more than sustained attacking pressure.
The scoring outlook is low, with 0:0, 1:1 and 1:0 among the most likely scorelines. A clean sheet is considered likely, reinforcing the expectation of limited chances and narrow margins. CA Barracas Central may have a slight positional advantage from playing at home, but the overall signal supports protection against a home defeat rather than a decisive prediction. CA Platense should remain competitive if they keep the match compact, while CA Barracas Central will need patience to turn territorial or home-field advantages into clear opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
Platense squad news and absentees
Goalkeeper Juan Pablo Cozzani missed out on Platense's squad due to muscle overload. He joins long-term injury absentees Celías Ingenthron, Tomás Nasif, and Gonzalo Goñi on the sidelines.
Platense enter match following Copa Libertadores success
On Wednesday, Platense advanced to the CONMEBOL Libertadores quarter-finals after defeating Coquimbo Unido on penalties in Chile. In domestic play under manager Martín Palermo, they recently beat Independiente and drew 1-1 with Boca Juniors.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.