CA Belgrano de Cordoba — Defensa y Justicia: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.7% |
| 12 | 71.1% | |
| X2 | 47.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.4% / 10.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.8% / 28.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 44.0% / 56.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.9% / 77.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.0% / 90.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.8% / 96.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 23.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 2:0
- 10.08.2026 away Banfield 2:0
- 06.08.2026 away Tigre 0:0
- 01.08.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 0:1
- 23.07.2026 home Rosario Central 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.08.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 1:1
- 09.08.2026 home Newells Old Boys 2:1
- 01.08.2026 away Estudiantes L.P. 0:3
- 29.07.2026 home Dep. Riestra 2:1
- 24.07.2026 home Aldosivi 1:1
This season: CA Belgrano de Cordoba at home vs Defensa y Justicia away
| Metric | CA Belgrano de Cordoba · at home | Defensa y Justicia · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 7–2–3 | 3–3–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.42 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.58 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 20.02.2026 Defensa y Justicia 1:1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 31.08.2025 Defensa y Justicia 2:1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 24.02.2025 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2:0 Defensa y Justicia
- 02.11.2024 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1:2 Defensa y Justicia
- 08.03.2024 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1:1 Defensa y Justicia
- 17.10.2023 Defensa y Justicia 0:2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Belgrano de Cordoba enter this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting with a slight but clear edge over Defensa y Justicia. The assessment points toward a medium-scoring contest, suggesting enough attacking quality for the match to develop beyond a purely cautious encounter. At the same time, the teams are close enough that the overall balance should remain competitive rather than one-sided.
The possibility of both teams scoring is finely balanced, so the match could be shaped by which side makes better use of its opportunities. CA Belgrano de Cordoba have the stronger position in the pre-match assessment, but Defensa y Justicia remain capable of keeping the contest level. The most plausible paths include a draw or a narrow home victory, with the hosts better placed to control the result without any expectation of a definitive margin.
What matters before kick-off
Belgrano's Copa Argentina exit
Ricardo Zielinski's Belgrano were eliminated from the Copa Argentina round of 16 following a 1-0 loss to Racing Club in San Luis.
Lucas Zelarayán missing for Belgrano
Belgrano captain Lucas Zelarayán was excluded from the matchday squad to face Defensa y Justicia due to fitness issues.
Defensa y Justicia's recent result
Ahead of their trip to Córdoba, Defensa y Justicia reached eight points in five Torneo Clausura matches after a 1-1 draw against Vélez Sarsfield in their previous fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.