Match intelligence

CA Huracan — Deportivo Riestra AFBC: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
CA Huracan0
:
0Deportivo Riestra AFBC
Locked signal 1X Probability 79.0% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 42.1% Home win CA Huracan
X 36.9% Draw
W2 21.0% Away win Deportivo Riestra AFBC
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X79.0%
Both teams to score
No64.1%
Totals 2.5
Under73.3%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X79.0%
1263.1%
X257.9%
Both teams to scoreYes/No35.9% / 64.1%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 80.9% / 19.1%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 55.9% / 44.1%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 26.7% / 73.3%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 10.7% / 89.3%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 3.6% / 96.4%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 1.0% / 99.0%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Huracan × Deportivo Riestra AFBC
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 19.1%
0:1 9.3%
0:2 4.1%
0:3 1.0%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 15.8%
1:1 15.2%
1:2 4.5%
1:3 1.0%
1:4 0.2%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 9.9%
2:1 6.9%
2:2 2.4%
2:3 0.6%
2:4 0.1%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 3.6%
3:1 2.5%
3:2 0.9%
3:3 0.2%
3:4 0.0%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 1.0%
4:1 0.7%
4:2 0.2%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
0:019.1%
1:015.8%
1:115.2%
2:09.9%
0:19.3%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 23.08.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 16.08.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 0:2
  • 09.08.2026 away San Lorenzo 2:0
  • 04.08.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 0:0
  • 30.07.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:2
  • 25.07.2026 home Banfield 1:0

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 15.08.2026 away Newells Old Boys 0:2
  • 08.08.2026 home Estudiantes L.P. 2:0
  • 02.08.2026 home Barracas Central 0:1
  • 29.07.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 1:2
  • 26.07.2026 home Boca Juniors 3:0

This season: CA Huracan at home vs Deportivo Riestra AFBC away

Metric CA Huracan · at home Deportivo Riestra AFBC · away
Matches1010
W–D–L5–2–30–3–7
Goals scored per match1.200.20
Goals conceded per match0.801.20
Over 2.5 goals50%10%
Both teams scored50%20%

Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings

CA Huracan wins1
Draws2
Deportivo Riestra AFBC wins1
Goals per match1.50
Both teams scored1/4
Over 2.5 goals1/4
  • 21.02.2026 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 0:0 CA Huracan
  • 12.05.2025 CA Huracan 3:2 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
  • 13.09.2024 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 1:0 CA Huracan
  • 08.04.2024 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 0:0 CA Huracan

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Huracan hold a slight but credible edge over Deportivo Riestra AFBC in this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture. The overall outlook points towards a restrained contest, with neither side expected to create a consistently open game. CA Huracan appear better placed to control the match, particularly if they can establish territorial pressure without exposing themselves to transitions.

The scoring profile suggests a low-scoring encounter, where the first goal could have considerable importance. A clean sheet is considered likely, which places added emphasis on defensive organisation and patience rather than sustained attacking risk. The most plausible scorelines include a goalless draw, a narrow CA Huracan victory, or a match ending level with both sides scoring once. The available signal favours CA Huracan avoiding defeat, but the balance of the game still leaves room for a draw if Deportivo Riestra AFBC maintain their defensive shape and limit clear chances.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Deportivo Riestra's recent Copa Argentina success

Deportivo Riestra enter the fixture against Huracán following a victory in the Copa Argentina, having defeated Gimnasia La Plata in a penalty shootout following a 1-1 draw.

Team news

Huracán looking to rebound after Sarmiento loss

Diego Martínez's side are seeking a bounce-back win at the Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó after suffering a 2-0 away loss to Sarmiento in their previous league match.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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