Atletico Tucuman — Instituto AC Cordoba: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.9% |
| 12 | 65.9% | |
| X2 | 67.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.5% / 51.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 86.9% / 13.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 68.7% / 31.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 39.3% / 60.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.2% / 80.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.9% / 92.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.8% / 97.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.08.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1:0
- 08.08.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 1:2
- 04.08.2026 away Huracan 0:0
- 31.07.2026 away Central Cordoba 2:0
- 26.07.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.08.2026 away Central Cordoba 1:0
- 09.08.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 1:0
- 03.08.2026 away Lanus 1:0
- 30.07.2026 home Platense 2:1
- 24.07.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 0:1
This season: Atletico Tucuman at home vs Instituto AC Cordoba away
| Metric | Atletico Tucuman · at home | Instituto AC Cordoba · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 2–6–2 | 4–2–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.90 | 0.73 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 0.91 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 9% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 27% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 20.02.2026 Instituto AC Cordoba 2:1 Atletico Tucuman
- 12.10.2025 Instituto AC Cordoba 2:0 Atletico Tucuman
- 08.04.2025 Atletico Tucuman 3:2 Instituto AC Cordoba
- 26.07.2024 Atletico Tucuman 1:0 Instituto AC Cordoba
- 30.01.2024 Instituto AC Cordoba 3:0 Atletico Tucuman
- 29.08.2023 Atletico Tucuman 0:0 Instituto AC Cordoba
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Atletico Tucuman and Instituto AC Cordoba meet in the Primera LPF, Clausura on 22 August 2026 in a contest that looks evenly matched. Neither side carries a clear overall advantage in the available assessment, and the moderate confidence level suggests a game where small details may shape the outcome rather than one team controlling the occasion.
The expected pattern is a low-scoring encounter, with limited margin between the most plausible scorelines. A draw, particularly a 1:1 or 0:0, fits the balance of the matchup, while Instituto AC Cordoba also has a credible path to a narrow victory, such as 0:1. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so the match may depend on efficiency in the key moments and defensive concentration. Atletico Tucuman should be competitive at home, but Instituto AC Cordoba appears capable of avoiding defeat in a closely contested game.
What matters before kick-off
Interzonal fixture in Torneo Clausura
Atlético Tucumán and Instituto AC Córdoba meet in fixture 6 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura, which features interzonal matchups.
Previous Torneo Apertura result
Earlier in 2026 during the Torneo Apertura, Instituto AC Córdoba secured a 2-1 victory over Atlético Tucumán thanks to a late winning goal by Giuliano Cerato.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.