Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Win probabilities, 21.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 60.5% |
| 12 | 63.7% | |
| X2 | 75.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 33.4% / 66.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 80.4% / 19.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 24.3% / 75.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 9.3% / 90.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 3.0% / 97.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 0.8% / 99.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 21.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.08.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 0:1
- 08.08.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:2
- 01.08.2026 home Banfield 0:0
- 29.07.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 0:3
- 25.07.2026 home Tigre 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 1:0
- 09.08.2026 home Huracan 0:2
- 04.08.2026 away Central Cordoba 0:1
- 28.07.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 1:0
- 26.07.2026 away Lanus 0:1
This season: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto at home vs CA San Lorenzo de Almagro away
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto · at home | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 2–2–7 | 2–6–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.55 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 18% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 18% | 27% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 22.02.2026 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 2:0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto face CA San Lorenzo de Almagro in a Primera LPF, Clausura match where the visitors hold a slight edge. The overall outlook points toward a cautious contest, with limited attacking output expected and little separating the teams in terms of the likely scoreline. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro appear better placed to avoid defeat, while Estudiantes Rio Cuarto may need to keep the game compact and controlled to remain competitive.
A low-scoring match is the central expectation, with a clean sheet looking more likely than both teams finding the net. The most plausible outcomes are 0:0, 0:1, and 1:1, all of which suggest a narrow margin or no margin at all. The 0:1 scenario gives CA San Lorenzo de Almagro the clearest route to victory, but the draw remains a strong possibility if Estudiantes Rio Cuarto successfully limit the visitors' chances.
What matters before kick-off
San Lorenzo squad recoveries
Ezequiel Herrera, Manuel Insaurralde, and Gonzalo Abrego returned to full training for San Lorenzo after recovering from muscle injuries. Head coach Néstor Gorosito considers keeping the same line-up that defeated Unión 1-0 in their previous league match.
2026 Torneo Clausura Matchday 6
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto host San Lorenzo at the Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto for Matchday 6 in Zone A of the 2026 Torneo Clausura.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.