CA Aldosivi — Union de Santa Fe: Win probabilities, 21.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.2% |
| 12 | 66.9% | |
| X2 | 65.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.2% / 51.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.4% / 12.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 68.4% / 31.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 39.5% / 60.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.4% / 80.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.0% / 92.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.8% / 97.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 21.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 home Tigre 0:0
- 07.08.2026 away Rosario Central 1:2
- 02.08.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 1:2
- 29.07.2026 away Barracas Central 0:1
- 24.07.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 away San Lorenzo 0:1
- 11.08.2026 home Central Cordoba 1:2
- 06.08.2026 home Lanus 2:1
- 01.08.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 0:2
- 25.07.2026 away Platense 2:2
This season: CA Aldosivi at home vs Union de Santa Fe away
| Metric | CA Aldosivi · at home | Union de Santa Fe · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 13 |
| W–D–L | 0–8–2 | 3–3–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.40 | 1.31 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.70 | 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 10% | 62% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 62% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 23.02.2026 Union de Santa Fe 1:0 CA Aldosivi
- 04.10.2025 Union de Santa Fe 0:2 CA Aldosivi
- 27.03.2025 CA Aldosivi 2:1 Union de Santa Fe
- 29.08.2022 Union de Santa Fe 0:0 CA Aldosivi
- 01.10.2021 CA Aldosivi 1:2 Union de Santa Fe
- 04.01.2021 CA Aldosivi 1:3 Union de Santa Fe
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Aldosivi and Union de Santa Fe appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts no clear advantage, while Union de Santa Fe remain close in the overall balance. With moderate confidence in this reading, the match looks difficult to separate, and a cautious approach from both sides would be consistent with the expected profile.
The game is projected to be low-scoring, with limited room for either team to establish sustained control. Both teams scoring is considered finely balanced, so the match could develop into a tight contest in which one moment decides the outcome, or remain level through the final stages. Scorelines such as 1:1, 0:0, or 1:0 reflect that narrow margin, with the main signal pointing toward CA Aldosivi avoiding defeat rather than a decisive home win.
What matters before kick-off
Clausura 2026 round 6 fixture
CA Aldosivi host Union de Santa Fe in Mar del Plata for round 6 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura in Argentina's Liga Profesional.
Aldosivi's league form
CA Aldosivi gathered just two points from their opening five Clausura matches and remain winless across the current Liga Profesional campaign.
Aldosivi's upcoming Copa Argentina ties
Following their match against Union, CA Aldosivi are scheduled to face Independiente Rivadavia in the Copa Argentina round of 16.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.