Racing Club Avellaneda — Boca Juniors: Win probabilities, 24.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 61.2% |
| 12 | 66.3% | |
| X2 | 72.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.2% / 52.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 86.7% / 13.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.7% / 32.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 38.5% / 61.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 18.6% / 81.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.5% / 92.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.6% / 97.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 home Banfield 0:1
- 10.08.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 1:2
- 02.08.2026 home Tigre 1:3
- 29.07.2026 away Rosario Central 0:0
- 24.07.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away Platense 1:1
- 08.08.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 1:1
- 05.08.2026 home Estudiantes L.P. 1:0
- 02.08.2026 away Newells Old Boys 2:2
- 26.07.2026 away Dep. Riestra 0:3
This season: Racing Club Avellaneda at home vs Boca Juniors away
| Metric | Racing Club Avellaneda · at home | Boca Juniors · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 3–3–4 | 5–3–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.55 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.20 | 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 64% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 55% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 20.02.2026 Boca Juniors 0:0 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 07.12.2025 Boca Juniors 0:1 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 09.08.2025 Boca Juniors 1:1 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 09.02.2025 Racing Club Avellaneda 2:0 Boca Juniors
- 14.09.2024 Racing Club Avellaneda 2:1 Boca Juniors
- 11.03.2024 Boca Juniors 4:2 Racing Club Avellaneda
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Racing Club Avellaneda and Boca Juniors appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The overall outlook points towards a cautious contest, with neither side holding a clear advantage. The expected pattern is low-scoring, which places greater importance on defensive organisation and the ability to make the most of limited attacking opportunities.
The most plausible scorelines include 1:1, 0:0 and 0:1, reflecting a match that could remain tight until the final stages. Both teams scoring is difficult to separate, so the game may hinge on whether either side can produce a decisive moment rather than sustained pressure. Boca Juniors have a slight edge in the market signal through the possibility of avoiding defeat, but the stronger general reading is still one of balance rather than a firm prediction.
What matters before kick-off
Torneo Clausura 2026 Matchday 6 Fixture
Racing Club hosts Boca Juniors at the Estadio Presidente Perón in Avellaneda for matchday 6 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura.
Recent League Form Ahead of the Match
Racing Club entered the fixture following a defeat against Belgrano, while Boca Juniors came off a draw against Platense.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.