Match intelligence

CA Tigre — CA Central Cordoba SE: Win probabilities, 24.08.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
CA Tigre2
:
1CA Central Cordoba SE
Locked signal W1 Probability 63.8% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 63.8% Home win CA Tigre
X 23.8% Draw
W2 12.4% Away win CA Central Cordoba SE
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X87.6%
Both teams to score
No63.1%
Totals 2.5
Under59.9%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X87.6%
1276.2%
X236.2%
Both teams to scoreYes/No36.9% / 63.1%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 89.6% / 10.4%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 67.0% / 33.0%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 40.1% / 59.9%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 19.8% / 80.2%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 8.3% / 91.7%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 2.9% / 97.1%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Tigre × CA Central Cordoba SE
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 10.4%
0:1 5.7%
0:2 1.8%
0:3 0.4%
0:4 0.1%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 16.9%
1:1 10.5%
1:2 3.0%
1:3 0.6%
1:4 0.1%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 14.5%
2:1 8.7%
2:2 2.6%
2:3 0.5%
2:4 0.1%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 8.2%
3:1 4.9%
3:2 1.5%
3:3 0.3%
3:4 0.0%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 3.5%
4:1 2.1%
4:2 0.6%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 1.2%
5:1 0.7%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:016.9%
2:014.5%
1:110.5%
0:010.4%
2:18.7%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 24.08.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 15.08.2026 away Aldosivi 0:0
  • 08.08.2026 home River Plate 1:0
  • 06.08.2026 home Belgrano 0:0
  • 02.08.2026 away Racing Club 3:1
  • 25.07.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 17.08.2026 home Instituto 0:1
  • 11.08.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 2:1
  • 04.08.2026 home San Lorenzo 1:0
  • 31.07.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 0:2
  • 24.07.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 0:1

This season: CA Tigre at home vs CA Central Cordoba SE away

Metric CA Tigre · at home CA Central Cordoba SE · away
Matches1010
W–D–L4–5–11–3–6
Goals scored per match1.200.30
Goals conceded per match0.801.40
Over 2.5 goals20%20%
Both teams scored50%20%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Tigre wins2
Draws2
CA Central Cordoba SE wins2
Goals per match1.33
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals1/6
  • 22.02.2026 CA Central Cordoba SE 0:0 CA Tigre
  • 27.09.2025 CA Central Cordoba SE 0:1 CA Tigre
  • 17.03.2025 CA Tigre 1:2 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 26.07.2024 CA Tigre 1:1 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 01.03.2024 CA Tigre 1:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 08.10.2023 CA Central Cordoba SE 1:0 CA Tigre

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Tigre go into this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting with a clear but not overwhelming advantage over CA Central Cordoba SE. The available assessment gives the hosts the stronger overall outlook, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the difference should be treated with some caution rather than as a decisive gap. CA Central Cordoba SE will therefore need to keep the contest compact and limit the spaces available to CA Tigre.

The expected pattern is a low-scoring match, with defensive discipline likely to play a major role. A clean sheet is considered more likely than both teams finding the net, which points toward a controlled game with limited clear chances. The most plausible scorelines are 1:0 and 2:0 in favour of CA Tigre, while 1:1 remains a credible alternative if the visitors can frustrate the hosts and take advantage of a limited number of opportunities.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Tigre's recent results

CA Tigre were eliminated from the Copa Sudamericana round of 16 by Montevideo City Torque and drew 0-0 against Aldosivi in their previous Torneo Clausura fixture.

Schedule

Central Córdoba's form

Central Córdoba SE lost 1-0 to Instituto in their last Clausura match, snapping a two-game winning streak over San Lorenzo and Unión.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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