CA Lanus — Argentinos Juniors: Win probabilities, 25.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.2% |
| 12 | 66.7% | |
| X2 | 63.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.8% / 55.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 86.3% / 13.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 64.9% / 35.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 36.1% / 63.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 16.9% / 83.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 6.6% / 93.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.2% / 97.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.08.2026 home Independiente 1:3
- 12.08.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 3:0
- 06.08.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 1:2
- 03.08.2026 home Instituto 0:1
- 26.07.2026 home San Lorenzo 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away River Plate 0:2
- 10.08.2026 home Racing Club 2:1
- 01.08.2026 away Belgrano 1:0
- 29.07.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 3:0
- 23.07.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 3:2
This season: CA Lanus at home vs Argentinos Juniors away
| Metric | CA Lanus · at home | Argentinos Juniors · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 4–4–3 | 4–2–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.82 | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 27% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 10.05.2026 Argentinos Juniors 2:0 CA Lanus
- 27.03.2026 Argentinos Juniors 2:1 CA Lanus
- 30.07.2024 Argentinos Juniors 2:0 CA Lanus
- 21.03.2023 CA Lanus 0:0 Argentinos Juniors
- 06.10.2022 CA Lanus 0:4 Argentinos Juniors
- 30.10.2021 Argentinos Juniors 0:1 CA Lanus
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Lanus and Argentinos Juniors appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts and visitors a similar overall standing, with only moderate confidence in that reading. This points toward a contest likely to be decided by small margins rather than sustained dominance from either side.
The expected scoring pattern is low, making a cautious opening and limited clear chances plausible. Whether both teams score is viewed as finely balanced, so neither a clean sheet nor goals at both ends should be treated as the central expectation. The main outcome signal leans toward CA Lanus avoiding defeat, covering either a home win or a draw, but the broader picture remains close. A draw fits the balance of the matchup, while a narrow result for either CA Lanus or Argentinos Juniors would also be consistent with the assessment.
What matters before kick-off
LPF Clausura 2026 Matchday 6 Fixture
CA Lanús hosts Argentinos Juniors at the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez for matchday 6 of the Argentine Clausura. Sebastián Zunino serves as the main referee, with Yamil Possi operating VAR.
Recent H2H Winning Streak for Argentinos Juniors
Argentinos Juniors entered the match on a four-game winning streak against Lanús, including a 2-0 victory in the 2026 Apertura round of 16 with goals from Francisco Álvarez and Alan Lescano.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.