New England Revolution — Houston Dynamo: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.8% |
| 12 | 73.1% | |
| X2 | 59.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.8% / 43.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.9% / 7.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.2% / 22.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.2% / 69.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.8% / 85.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.3% / 93.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.08.2026 away CF Montreal 2:2
- 26.07.2026 home Atlanta Utd 4:1
- 23.07.2026 home Toronto FC 0:0
- 24.05.2026 away Charlotte 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Minnesota United 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.08.2026 away Sporting Kansas City 2:0
- 26.07.2026 home Austin FC 3:0
- 23.07.2026 home DC United 1:1
- 24.05.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 1:1
- 17.05.2026 home Vancouver Whitecaps 1:0
This season: New England Revolution at home vs Houston Dynamo away
| Metric | New England Revolution · at home | Houston Dynamo · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 8 |
| W–D–L | 8–1–1 | 3–1–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.10 | 1.63 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 2.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 03.10.2024 Houston Dynamo 2:1 New England Revolution
- 05.03.2023 New England Revolution 3:0 Houston Dynamo
- 14.09.2022 Houston Dynamo 3:1 New England Revolution
- 30.06.2019 New England Revolution 2:1 Houston Dynamo
- 01.04.2018 Houston Dynamo 0:2 New England Revolution
- 08.04.2017 New England Revolution 2:0 Houston Dynamo
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
New England Revolution and Houston Dynamo appear evenly matched ahead of their MLS meeting on 8 August. The available assessment gives the hosts no clear overall superiority, while the moderate confidence level suggests that the balance between the teams should be treated with some caution. The expected profile is medium-scoring rather than tightly defensive, leaving room for an open contest across the match.
Both teams scoring is described as a coin flip, so neither outcome should be treated as the central expectation. The strongest scoreline indication is a 1:1 draw, with 2:1 and 1:0 also among the plausible scenarios. Overall, the signal leans toward New England Revolution avoiding defeat, but the evenly matched assessment points to a narrow margin between the sides rather than a decisive advantage.
What matters before kick-off
Revolution signing Jack Harrison
English winger Jack Harrison, signed by the New England Revolution as a Designated Player, received his U.S. Green Card and is available to make his club debut against Houston Dynamo FC.
Recent results and team form
The New England Revolution remain undefeated since returning from the World Cup break following a 2-2 draw with CF Montréal. Houston Dynamo FC are also on a five-game unbeaten streak with back-to-back shutout victories, including a 2-0 win at Sporting Kansas City.
Squad age contrast
The match presents a contrast in squad ages, as Houston Dynamo FC field one of the oldest rosters in MLS while the New England Revolution stand among the youngest teams in the league.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.