Los Angeles Galaxy — FC Dallas: Win probabilities, 02.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 65.4% |
| 12 | 74.6% | |
| X2 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.5% / 32.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.2% / 4.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.2% / 13.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.3% / 34.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.3% / 56.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.9% / 75.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.07.2026 away San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
- 23.07.2026 home St. Louis City 1:3
- 18.07.2026 home Los Angeles FC 0:3
- 24.05.2026 home Houston Dynamo 1:1
- 17.05.2026 away Seattle Sounders 2:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.07.2026 away San Diego FC 0:1
- 23.07.2026 away Portland Timbers 2:2
- 24.05.2026 away Colorado Rapids 2:1
- 17.05.2026 away San Jose Earthquakes 3:2
- 14.05.2026 home Vancouver Whitecaps 2:3
This season: Los Angeles Galaxy at home vs FC Dallas away
| Metric | Los Angeles Galaxy · at home | FC Dallas · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 8 |
| W–D–L | 2–3–4 | 4–1–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.22 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 63% |
| Both teams scored | 78% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 19.04.2026 FC Dallas 2:2 Los Angeles Galaxy
- 12.10.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy 2:1 FC Dallas
- 04.10.2025 FC Dallas 2:1 Los Angeles Galaxy
- 14.07.2024 FC Dallas 2:0 Los Angeles Galaxy
- 30.05.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy 3:1 FC Dallas
- 22.10.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy 1:4 FC Dallas
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Los Angeles Galaxy and FC Dallas appear evenly matched ahead of their MLS meeting. The available signals point to a competitive contest rather than a clear advantage for either side, with moderate confidence in that assessment. Neither team stands out as the stronger candidate, so the balance of the match may depend on how effectively each side handles the other’s attacking phases.
The outlook also suggests an open, high-scoring game in which both teams are likely to score. That points toward a match with chances at both ends rather than a cautious encounter dominated by defensive control. Los Angeles Galaxy may look to use home advantage to apply pressure, while FC Dallas should have a realistic opportunity to respond and contribute to the scoring. Overall, the BTTS signal fits the broader expectation of a close contest, with a draw or a narrow win for either team plausible.
What matters before kick-off
Head-to-head history
The LA Galaxy and FC Dallas played to a 2-2 draw earlier in the MLS season on April 18, 2026, in Frisco, Texas.
LA Galaxy recent result
In their previous match, the LA Galaxy earned a point on the road in a 1-1 draw against the San Jose Earthquakes.
Kyogo Furuhashi signing
The LA Galaxy announced the transfer acquisition of forward Kyogo Furuhashi from Birmingham City through the 2030-31 season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.