Colorado Rapids — Austin FC: Win probabilities, 02.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.6% |
| 12 | 75.7% | |
| X2 | 44.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.7% / 44.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.7% / 6.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.5% / 20.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.2% / 66.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.9% / 83.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.5% / 92.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.07.2026 away St. Louis City 0:1
- 23.07.2026 home San Diego FC 1:0
- 24.05.2026 home FC Dallas 1:2
- 17.05.2026 away Real Salt Lake 1:2
- 14.05.2026 away Minnesota United 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.07.2026 away Houston Dynamo 0:3
- 23.07.2026 home Seattle Sounders 3:1
- 23.05.2026 away St. Louis City 0:3
- 17.05.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 1:2
- 14.05.2026 away San Diego FC 0:5
This season: Colorado Rapids at home vs Austin FC away
| Metric | Colorado Rapids · at home | Austin FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 4–0–3 | 0–3–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.29 | 1.11 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.29 | 3.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 08.06.2025 Colorado Rapids 0:2 Austin FC
- 09.03.2025 Austin FC 0:1 Colorado Rapids
- 20.10.2024 Austin FC 3:2 Colorado Rapids
- 16.06.2024 Colorado Rapids 2:0 Austin FC
- 01.10.2023 Colorado Rapids 1:0 Austin FC
- 26.03.2023 Austin FC 1:1 Colorado Rapids
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Colorado Rapids have a slight edge over Austin FC in this MLS matchup, but the low confidence level points to a contest without a decisive pre-match separation. The available assessment favors the home side, though a draw remains a credible possibility, making the result difficult to call with certainty.
The game is projected to be medium-scoring, with 1:1, 2:1 and 2:0 among the likely scorelines. That range suggests Colorado Rapids may have enough attacking threat to find a winning margin, while Austin FC remain capable of contributing to a close contest. Both teams scoring is considered a coin flip, so the match could develop either as a balanced exchange with goals at both ends or as a more controlled home performance. Overall, the profile leans toward Colorado Rapids, but only narrowly.
What matters before kick-off
Holding's red card in previous match
Colorado Rapids defender Rob Holding received an early red card in the 12th minute of their previous 1-0 away loss to St. Louis CITY SC.
Colorado Rapids begin homestand
The match against Austin FC kicks off a three-game homestand at DICK'S Sporting Goods Park for the Colorado Rapids.
Austin FC recent form
Austin FC headed into this fixture following a 3-0 away loss to Houston Dynamo FC, which came after a 3-1 home victory over Seattle Sounders FC.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.