Nashville SC — Inter Miami CF: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.1% |
| 12 | 76.0% | |
| X2 | 54.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.7% / 32.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.9% / 4.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.6% / 13.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 66.7% / 33.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 44.9% / 55.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.2% / 73.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.4% / 86.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Nashville SC host Inter Miami CF in an MLS meeting that projects to be closely contested, with a slight edge for the home side. The available assessment points toward a high-scoring match, so both teams are likely to find the net. That combination suggests an open contest in which neither side can afford to lose concentration, particularly if the game becomes stretched in midfield and transition situations.
Nashville SC’s home advantage gives them a modest positional edge, but the margin is not large enough to overlook Inter Miami CF’s threat. The most plausible scorelines indicate a narrow home win or a draw, while an Inter Miami victory also remains within the range of outcomes. Overall, the matchup looks balanced but with Nashville SC marginally better placed, and the central expectation is for goals at both ends rather than a tightly controlled defensive game.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.