Nashville SC — Inter Miami CF: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.6% |
| 12 | 73.9% | |
| X2 | 62.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 70.2% / 29.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.1% / 4.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.4% / 11.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.0% / 32.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.4% / 53.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.5% / 72.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.3% / 85.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.08.2026 away DC United 2:2
- 26.07.2026 away Orlando City 0:1
- 23.07.2026 home CF Montreal 1:0
- 18.07.2026 home Atlanta Utd 1:0
- 24.05.2026 home New York City 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.08.2026 home Columbus Crew 2:2
- 26.07.2026 away CF Montreal 1:0
- 23.07.2026 home Chicago Fire 3:2
- 25.05.2026 home Philadelphia Union 6:4
- 17.05.2026 home Portland Timbers 2:0
This season: Nashville SC at home vs Inter Miami CF away
| Metric | Nashville SC · at home | Inter Miami CF · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 8–1–0 | 8–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.78 | 2.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 09.11.2025 Inter Miami CF 4:0 Nashville SC
- 01.11.2025 Nashville SC 2:1 Inter Miami CF
- 25.10.2025 Inter Miami CF 3:1 Nashville SC
- 18.10.2025 Nashville SC 2:5 Inter Miami CF
- 13.07.2025 Inter Miami CF 2:1 Nashville SC
- 30.06.2024 Nashville SC 1:2 Inter Miami CF
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Nashville SC and Inter Miami CF appear evenly matched ahead of their MLS meeting on 16 August 2026. The moderate confidence level points to a contest without a clear favourite, with both sides having a credible route to control periods of the game. That balance should make the tactical battle important, particularly in how each team manages transitions and responds when possession changes.
The available indicators point toward an open, high-scoring match in which both teams are likely to score. Neither Nashville SC nor Inter Miami CF has been given a decisive edge, so the outcome may depend on which side makes better use of its attacking opportunities and limits defensive exposure. A draw is a plausible reading of the matchup, but the close balance also leaves room for either team to edge the contest if it converts its chances more efficiently.
What matters before kick-off
Battle for first place in the Eastern Conference
Nashville SC enter the match leading the Eastern Conference with 40 points (12W-2L-4D), while Inter Miami CF sit just two points behind in second place with 38 points (11W-2L-5D).
Team news and player absences
Nashville SC remain without Warren Madrigal due to a knock, while Inter Miami CF will be without Micael Silva after he suffered an ankle injury that will keep him out for several months.
Nashville's dominant home record
Nashville SC enter the matchup as the best home team in MLS this regular season, holding an undefeated 8W-0L-1D record at GEODIS Park.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.