CF Montreal — DC United: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.6% |
| 12 | 74.0% | |
| X2 | 55.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.6% / 36.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.4% / 5.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.6% / 16.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.9% / 39.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.6% / 61.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.0% / 79.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.0% / 90.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.08.2026 home New England Revolution 2:2
- 26.07.2026 home Inter Miami 0:1
- 23.07.2026 away Nashville SC 0:1
- 17.07.2026 home Toronto FC 0:0
- 24.05.2026 away DC United 4:4
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.08.2026 home Nashville SC 2:2
- 26.07.2026 home Toronto FC 2:1
- 23.07.2026 away Houston Dynamo 1:1
- 24.05.2026 home CF Montreal 4:4
- 17.05.2026 home St. Louis City 1:1
This season: CF Montreal at home vs DC United away
| Metric | CF Montreal · at home | DC United · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 3–3–3 | 2–5–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 1.22 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 44% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 24.05.2026 DC United 4:4 CF Montreal
- 17.08.2025 CF Montreal 1:1 DC United
- 15.03.2025 DC United 0:0 CF Montreal
- 30.05.2024 CF Montreal 4:2 DC United
- 30.03.2024 DC United 1:0 CF Montreal
- 01.06.2023 DC United 2:2 CF Montreal
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CF Montreal have a slight edge over DC United in this MLS matchup, although the moderate confidence indicates a contest with limited separation between the sides. The available assessment points toward the home team avoiding defeat, but it does not suggest a strongly one-sided game. DC United remain capable of making the match competitive, particularly in an open attacking contest.
The scoring outlook is high, with both teams likely to find the net. That makes a balanced result such as 1:1 a credible possibility, while 2:1 would reflect the home advantage and 1:2 remains a realistic alternative if DC United take their chances more efficiently. Overall, CF Montreal appear marginally better placed, but the combination of an expected open game and closely grouped score possibilities argues for caution rather than a firm prediction.
What matters before kick-off
Montreal's homestand conclusion
The match against D.C. United on August 15 marks the final fixture of CF Montreal's three-game homestand at Stade Saputo.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.