Charlotte FC — Columbus Crew: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.5% |
| 12 | 74.9% | |
| X2 | 57.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.0% / 38.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.7% / 5.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.8% / 18.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.3% / 40.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.9% / 63.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.7% / 80.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.08.2026 away Chicago Fire 1:2
- 25.07.2026 away New York Red Bulls 2:0
- 23.07.2026 home Atlanta Utd 2:2
- 24.05.2026 home New England Revolution 1:0
- 17.05.2026 home Toronto FC 3:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.08.2026 away Inter Miami 2:2
- 26.07.2026 home FC Cincinnati 2:1
- 23.07.2026 home New York City 1:2
- 24.05.2026 home Atlanta Utd 2:0
- 17.05.2026 away Philadelphia Union 1:1
This season: Charlotte FC at home vs Columbus Crew away
| Metric | Charlotte FC · at home | Columbus Crew · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 5–3–2 | 1–3–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.56 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.10 | 2.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 89% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 89% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 25.05.2025 Charlotte FC 3:2 Columbus Crew
- 04.05.2025 Columbus Crew 4:2 Charlotte FC
- 18.07.2024 Columbus Crew 1:1 Charlotte FC
- 23.03.2024 Charlotte FC 2:0 Columbus Crew
- 04.06.2023 Columbus Crew 4:2 Charlotte FC
- 23.04.2023 Charlotte FC 1:0 Columbus Crew
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Charlotte FC and Columbus Crew appear evenly matched heading into this MLS meeting. The moderate confidence level points to a contest without a clear favourite, with the hosts holding a slight positional advantage through the 1X signal. That suggests Charlotte FC may have enough balance to avoid defeat, but the gap between the sides remains limited and Columbus Crew should be capable of competing throughout.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with both teams likely to score. That combination points toward an open contest in which neither defence is expected to control the game completely. Charlotte FC will look to use home advantage to shape the tempo, while Columbus Crew can be expected to remain involved and create pressure of their own. A draw is a credible outcome, although either side could edge a close game if it makes better use of its opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
Charlotte FC home record against Columbus Crew
Charlotte FC remains undefeated at home against Columbus Crew at Bank of America Stadium, posting three wins and one draw in four meetings.
Charlotte FC returns to MLS action
Charlotte FC returns to MLS regular-season play on August 15 after completing a stretch of three Leagues Cup matches in seven days.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.