Motherwell FC — Dundee United: Win probabilities, 02.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.5% |
| 12 | 74.9% | |
| X2 | 57.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.9% / 38.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.7% / 5.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.7% / 18.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.2% / 40.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.8% / 63.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.7% / 80.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Motherwell FC and Dundee United meet in the Premiership on 2 September, with the hosts holding a slight edge in the pre-match assessment. The outlook points towards a competitive game rather than a one-sided contest, with Motherwell FC marginally better placed to avoid defeat. Dundee United remain sufficiently competitive to make the result uncertain, so the main expectation is for a close encounter.
The scoring profile suggests a medium-scoring match, and both teams are considered likely to find the net. That points towards an open enough contest, although the available likely scorelines also include a narrow home win or a clean-sheet victory for Motherwell FC. The strongest overall signal is therefore 1X: Motherwell FC have the clearer side of the balance, while a draw remains a credible outcome. Dundee United should still have opportunities, particularly if they can turn the match into an exchange of attacks rather than allowing the hosts to control its tempo.
What matters before kick-off
Motherwell's previous result
Ahead of hosting Dundee United on 2 September 2026, Motherwell played out a 3-3 draw against St Mirren in the Scottish Premiership on 30 August 2026.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.