Motherwell FC — Dundee United: Win probabilities, 02.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.5% |
| 12 | 74.9% | |
| X2 | 57.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.9% / 38.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.7% / 5.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.7% / 18.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.2% / 40.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.8% / 63.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.7% / 80.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.09.2026
Motherwell FC
6th place · 6 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away St Mirren 3:3
- 22.08.2026 home Aberdeen 0:0
- 09.08.2026 home Falkirk 0:0
- 02.08.2026 away Hibernian 2:1
- 16.05.2026 away Hibernian 1:0
Dundee United
9th place · 4 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Kilmarnock 4:0
- 22.08.2026 home Dundee 0:2
- 09.08.2026 away Hearts 0:4
- 31.07.2026 home Rangers 1:1
- 17.05.2026 away St Mirren 1:1
This season: Motherwell FC at home vs Dundee United away
| Metric | Motherwell FC · at home | Dundee United · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–2–0 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.89 | 2.03 |
| xG against per match | 0.44 | 1.57 |
| Shots on target per match | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 2.00 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 28.02.2026 Motherwell FC 2:0 Dundee United
- 13.12.2025 Dundee United 0:0 Motherwell FC
- 29.10.2025 Motherwell FC 2:0 Dundee United
- 22.02.2025 Dundee United 1:0 Motherwell FC
- 14.12.2024 Motherwell FC 4:3 Dundee United
- 30.10.2024 Dundee United 1:2 Motherwell FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Motherwell FC and Dundee United meet in the Premiership on 2 September, with the hosts holding a slight edge in the pre-match assessment. The outlook points towards a competitive game rather than a one-sided contest, with Motherwell FC marginally better placed to avoid defeat. Dundee United remain sufficiently competitive to make the result uncertain, so the main expectation is for a close encounter.
The scoring profile suggests a medium-scoring match, and both teams are considered likely to find the net. That points towards an open enough contest, although the available likely scorelines also include a narrow home win or a clean-sheet victory for Motherwell FC. The strongest overall signal is therefore 1X: Motherwell FC have the clearer side of the balance, while a draw remains a credible outcome. Dundee United should still have opportunities, particularly if they can turn the match into an exchange of attacks rather than allowing the hosts to control its tempo.
What matters before kick-off
Motherwell's previous result
Ahead of hosting Dundee United on 2 September 2026, Motherwell played out a 3-3 draw against St Mirren in the Scottish Premiership on 30 August 2026.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.