Match intelligence

Falkirk FC — Glasgow Rangers: Win probabilities, 02.09.2026

League: Premiership (Scotland) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Falkirk FC1
:
2Glasgow Rangers
Locked signal W2 Probability 62.1% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 16.6% Home win Falkirk FC
X 21.3% Draw
W2 62.1% Away win Glasgow Rangers
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X283.7%
Both teams to score
Yes57.1%
Totals 2.5
Over61.5%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X37.3%
1279.0%
X283.7%
Both teams to scoreYes/No57.1% / 42.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 95.2% / 4.8%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 83.1% / 16.9%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 61.5% / 38.5%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 39.2% / 60.8%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 21.5% / 78.5%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 10.2% / 89.8%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Falkirk FC × Glasgow Rangers
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 4.8%
0:1 8.4%
0:2 9.7%
0:3 7.0%
0:4 3.8%
0:5 1.6%
1
1:0 3.7%
1:1 9.8%
1:2 9.9%
1:3 7.1%
1:4 3.8%
1:5 1.7%
2
2:0 2.2%
2:1 4.7%
2:2 5.0%
2:3 3.6%
2:4 2.0%
2:5 0.8%
3
3:0 0.7%
3:1 1.6%
3:2 1.7%
3:3 1.2%
3:4 0.7%
3:5 0.3%
4
4:0 0.2%
4:1 0.4%
4:2 0.4%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.0%
5:1 0.1%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:29.9%
1:19.8%
0:29.7%
0:18.4%
1:37.1%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 02.09.2026

Falkirk FC

11th place · 2 pts after 4

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 29.08.2026 away Celtic 1:2
  • 22.08.2026 home Hearts 0:0
  • 09.08.2026 away Motherwell 0:0
  • 01.08.2026 home St Mirren 0:2
  • 16.05.2026 home Rangers 2:5

Glasgow Rangers

7th place · 5 pts after 4

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 30.08.2026 away Aberdeen 1:0
  • 22.08.2026 home St Mirren 0:0
  • 09.08.2026 home Hibernian 1:2
  • 31.07.2026 away Dundee United 1:1
  • 16.05.2026 away Falkirk 5:2

This season: Falkirk FC at home vs Glasgow Rangers away

Metric Falkirk FC · at home Glasgow Rangers · away
Matches22
W–D–L0–1–11–1–0
Goals scored per match0.001.00
Goals conceded per match1.000.50
xG for per match0.711.65
xG against per match1.641.05
Shots on target per match1.005.50
Corners per match7.008.00
Over 2.5 goals0%0%
Both teams scored0%50%

Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings

Falkirk FC wins0
Draws2
Glasgow Rangers wins2
Goals per match4.50
Both teams scored3/4
Over 2.5 goals2/4
  • 16.05.2026 Falkirk FC 2:5 Glasgow Rangers
  • 12.04.2026 Falkirk FC 3:6 Glasgow Rangers
  • 30.11.2025 Glasgow Rangers 0:0 Falkirk FC
  • 05.10.2025 Falkirk FC 1:1 Glasgow Rangers

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Falkirk FC face Glasgow Rangers in a Premiership meeting where the available assessment gives the visitors a clear but moderate edge. Glasgow Rangers are rated as the stronger side, while Falkirk FC will need to keep the match compact and disciplined to limit the visitors’ attacking influence. The balance of the evaluation points towards an away win, although the confidence level suggests some room for variation in how the contest develops.

The match is expected to have an open, high-scoring character, making defensive organisation important for both teams. Whether both sides score is considered finely balanced, so the game could develop either through sustained pressure from Glasgow Rangers or through Falkirk FC finding openings in transition. The scoreline possibilities include 1:1, 1:2 and 0:2, reflecting a contest in which Glasgow Rangers hold the stronger overall position but where Falkirk FC remain capable of making the match competitive.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Rangers victory against Aberdeen

In their previous Scottish Premiership match, Glasgow Rangers secured a 1-0 away victory over Aberdeen thanks to a Lawrence Shankland penalty.

Schedule

Falkirk defeat to Celtic

Falkirk suffered a defeat against Celtic last weekend, with their only goal of the match coming via an own-goal.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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