Dundee FC — St. Johnstone FC: Win probabilities, 02.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.8% |
| 12 | 73.3% | |
| X2 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.5% / 39.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.7% / 6.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.4% / 19.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.5% / 43.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.1% / 65.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.6% / 82.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.9% / 92.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Dundee FC and St. Johnstone FC meet in the Premiership in a contest that looks evenly matched, with moderate confidence in that assessment. Neither side has a clearly defined advantage in the available information, so the balance of the game may depend on how effectively each team manages the key phases rather than on one dominant factor.
The scoring outlook is medium, and both teams are likely to find the net. That points towards an open but reasonably balanced match, with chances at both ends and limited scope for either side to control proceedings throughout. A draw is a credible possibility, while St. Johnstone FC have a slight edge in the broader result signal. Dundee FC should still have a realistic route to a positive outcome, particularly if they can make their attacking moments count. The most plausible score patterns include a level game or a narrow result for either team.
What matters before kick-off
Recent League Results
Dundee host St. Johnstone at Dens Park coming off a 2-1 home loss to Hibernian. St. Johnstone also suffered a 2-1 defeat in their previous league match against Hearts.
Midweek Scottish Premiership Fixture
St. Johnstone face a quick turnaround as Simo Valakari's side travel to Dens Park to face Dundee in Wednesday evening Premiership action.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.