Dundee FC — St. Johnstone FC: Win probabilities, 02.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.8% |
| 12 | 73.3% | |
| X2 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.5% / 39.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.7% / 6.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.4% / 19.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.5% / 43.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.1% / 65.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.6% / 82.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.9% / 92.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.09.2026
Dundee FC
5th place · 6 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Hibernian 1:2
- 22.08.2026 away Dundee United 2:0
- 08.08.2026 home Aberdeen 2:0
- 03.08.2026 away Celtic 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Aberdeen 3:2
St. Johnstone FC
8th place · 4 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Hearts 1:2
- 22.08.2026 home Celtic 0:0
- 08.08.2026 away St Mirren 0:1
- 02.08.2026 home Kilmarnock 4:3
- 01.05.2026 away Ayr 1:0
This season: Dundee FC at home vs St. Johnstone FC away
| Metric | Dundee FC · at home | St. Johnstone FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–1 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.50 | 1.15 |
| xG against per match | 1.56 | 1.54 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 18.05.2025 St. Johnstone FC 0:2 Dundee FC
- 01.03.2025 Dundee FC 1:1 St. Johnstone FC
- 05.01.2025 St. Johnstone FC 1:3 Dundee FC
- 26.10.2024 Dundee FC 1:2 St. Johnstone FC
- 30.03.2024 St. Johnstone FC 1:2 Dundee FC
- 11.02.2024 Dundee FC 2:1 St. Johnstone FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Dundee FC and St. Johnstone FC meet in the Premiership in a contest that looks evenly matched, with moderate confidence in that assessment. Neither side has a clearly defined advantage in the available information, so the balance of the game may depend on how effectively each team manages the key phases rather than on one dominant factor.
The scoring outlook is medium, and both teams are likely to find the net. That points towards an open but reasonably balanced match, with chances at both ends and limited scope for either side to control proceedings throughout. A draw is a credible possibility, while St. Johnstone FC have a slight edge in the broader result signal. Dundee FC should still have a realistic route to a positive outcome, particularly if they can make their attacking moments count. The most plausible score patterns include a level game or a narrow result for either team.
What matters before kick-off
Recent League Results
Dundee host St. Johnstone at Dens Park coming off a 2-1 home loss to Hibernian. St. Johnstone also suffered a 2-1 defeat in their previous league match against Hearts.
Midweek Scottish Premiership Fixture
St. Johnstone face a quick turnaround as Simo Valakari's side travel to Dens Park to face Dundee in Wednesday evening Premiership action.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.