Celtic Glasgow — Aberdeen FC: Win probabilities, 02.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 92.2% |
| 12 | 87.5% | |
| X2 | 20.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.6% / 46.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.7% / 2.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.9% / 11.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.4% / 27.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.4% / 67.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.8% / 82.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Celtic Glasgow go into this Premiership meeting with Aberdeen FC as the clearly stronger side. The assessment gives the hosts a high-confidence edge, pointing towards a match in which Celtic Glasgow should be expected to control more of the contest and create the more convincing attacking threat. Aberdeen FC face a demanding task, particularly if the home side can maintain pressure and turn its territorial advantage into chances.
The overall scoring outlook is high-scoring, although whether both teams find the net remains finely balanced. That combination suggests several plausible paths for the match: Celtic Glasgow could win while keeping Aberdeen FC scoreless, but a more open game could also allow the visitors to contribute. The main analytical signal supports a home win, with the likely scorelines centred on a comfortable Celtic Glasgow victory, including 2-0 or 3-0, while 2-1 represents a closer alternative.
What matters before kick-off
Celtic's perfect start to the league campaign
Celtic enter the match against Aberdeen at the top of the Premiership table, having won all three of their opening fixtures in the 2026/27 season.
Aberdeen's recent Premiership form
Aberdeen have collected three points from their first three league matches, following an opening win over Hearts with back-to-back defeats against Dundee and Rangers.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.