Celtic Glasgow — Aberdeen FC: Win probabilities, 02.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 92.2% |
| 12 | 87.5% | |
| X2 | 20.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.6% / 46.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.7% / 2.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.9% / 11.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.4% / 27.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.4% / 67.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.8% / 82.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.09.2026
Celtic Glasgow
1st place · 10 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Falkirk 2:1
- 22.08.2026 away St Johnstone 0:0
- 09.08.2026 away Kilmarnock 5:1
- 03.08.2026 home Dundee 1:0
- 16.05.2026 home Hearts 3:1
Aberdeen FC
10th place · 4 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Rangers 0:1
- 22.08.2026 away Motherwell 0:0
- 08.08.2026 away Dundee 0:2
- 01.08.2026 home Hearts 2:1
- 17.05.2026 away Dundee 2:3
This season: Celtic Glasgow at home vs Aberdeen FC away
| Metric | Celtic Glasgow · at home | Aberdeen FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–0 | 0–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.72 | 0.70 |
| xG against per match | 0.50 | 2.22 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 7.50 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 04.03.2026 Aberdeen FC 1:2 Celtic Glasgow
- 21.12.2025 Celtic Glasgow 3:1 Aberdeen FC
- 10.08.2025 Aberdeen FC 0:2 Celtic Glasgow
- 14.05.2025 Aberdeen FC 1:5 Celtic Glasgow
- 25.02.2025 Celtic Glasgow 5:1 Aberdeen FC
- 04.12.2024 Aberdeen FC 0:1 Celtic Glasgow
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Celtic Glasgow go into this Premiership meeting with Aberdeen FC as the clearly stronger side. The assessment gives the hosts a high-confidence edge, pointing towards a match in which Celtic Glasgow should be expected to control more of the contest and create the more convincing attacking threat. Aberdeen FC face a demanding task, particularly if the home side can maintain pressure and turn its territorial advantage into chances.
The overall scoring outlook is high-scoring, although whether both teams find the net remains finely balanced. That combination suggests several plausible paths for the match: Celtic Glasgow could win while keeping Aberdeen FC scoreless, but a more open game could also allow the visitors to contribute. The main analytical signal supports a home win, with the likely scorelines centred on a comfortable Celtic Glasgow victory, including 2-0 or 3-0, while 2-1 represents a closer alternative.
What matters before kick-off
Celtic's perfect start to the league campaign
Celtic enter the match against Aberdeen at the top of the Premiership table, having won all three of their opening fixtures in the 2026/27 season.
Aberdeen's recent Premiership form
Aberdeen have collected three points from their first three league matches, following an opening win over Hearts with back-to-back defeats against Dundee and Rangers.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.