Motherwell FC — Celtic Glasgow: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 35.4% |
| 12 | 81.3% | |
| X2 | 83.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.7% / 38.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.9% / 3.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.6% / 13.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.1% / 31.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.5% / 53.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.6% / 72.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.4% / 85.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
Motherwell FC
8th place · 9 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Dundee 1:2
- 15.09.2026 home Aberdeen 0:4
- 05.09.2026 away Rangers 0:1
- 02.09.2026 home Dundee United 3:0
- 30.08.2026 away St Mirren 3:3
Celtic Glasgow
1st place · 19 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Rangers 0:1
- 09.09.2026 away St Johnstone 1:0
- 05.09.2026 away St Mirren 2:1
- 02.09.2026 home Aberdeen 3:0
- 29.08.2026 home Falkirk 2:1
This season: Motherwell FC at home vs Celtic Glasgow away
| Metric | Motherwell FC · at home | Celtic Glasgow · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–2–1 | 3–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.27 | 3.60 |
| xG against per match | 0.52 | 1.12 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.67 | 11.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.33 | 9.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 13.05.2026 Motherwell FC 2:3 Celtic Glasgow
- 14.03.2026 Celtic Glasgow 3:1 Motherwell FC
- 30.12.2025 Motherwell FC 2:0 Celtic Glasgow
- 05.10.2025 Celtic Glasgow 3:2 Motherwell FC
- 02.02.2025 Motherwell FC 1:3 Celtic Glasgow
- 26.12.2024 Celtic Glasgow 4:0 Motherwell FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Motherwell FC face Celtic Glasgow in the Premiership with the visitors holding a clear overall strength advantage. The assessment points toward Celtic Glasgow as the stronger side, although the confidence is moderate rather than emphatic. That suggests a match where the visitors have the more favorable outlook, but Motherwell FC remain capable of making the contest competitive.
The scoring profile indicates a potentially high-scoring encounter, with both teams likely to find the net. The most prominent scoreline scenarios point to Celtic Glasgow edging the game, while a draw is also among the plausible outcomes. Overall, the combination of a clear away-side advantage and an expectation of goals makes this a matchup in which Celtic Glasgow appear better positioned, while Motherwell FC could still contribute offensively.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.